SecBot SecBot
Institutional Cluster

MSBI

Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 2 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Despite a net reduction, the presence of Nuveen and Two Sigma as adders at a $611M market cap with 0% analyst bullishness may indicate a value-or-distressed thesis. Monitor Q4 2025 13F to confirm whether the buyer base expands or the sellers continue to exit.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MSBI ▲ +13.84% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +13.84% · α vs SPY +9.44% · entry $29.63 → $33.73
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.79%
call +1.79% · α +1.25%
$30.16
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-1.72%
call -1.72% · α -2.15%
$29.12
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+1.72%
call +1.72% · α -0.17%
$30.14
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+13.84%
call +13.84% · α +9.44%
$33.73
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

MSBI 13F institutional cluster for Q3 2025 shows mixed conviction: Two Sigma and Nuveen added positions totaling ~$2.1M (new value $6.5M), while Citadel, Morgan Stanley, and Ameriprise trimmed ~$4.2M in holdings. The buyer base is narrow (2 funds) vs 3 sellers, with the largest sell-side action a steep 71.5% trim by Citadel. The aggregate net dollar change is ~–$2.3M, suggesting risk reduction at the margin.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$6.5M
Sell Value
$6.2M
Net Flow
-$2.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$2.3M

▲ Buyers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Two SigmaADD+39.1%$2.4M$654.0K
NuveenADD+44.8%$4.1M$1.3M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelTRIM71.5%$3.3M-$2.4M
Morgan StanleyTRIM30%$3.8M-$1.2M
Ameriprise FinancialTRIM34.3%$2.0M-$681.9K

Key Facts

  • 2 buyers (Two Sigma + Nuveen) added a combined $1.9M, bringing their total holdings to $6.5M
  • 3 sellers (Citadel, Morgan Stanley, Ameriprise) trimmed $4.2M in aggregate
  • Citadel reduced its stake by 71.5%, from $3.3M to $940K — the steepest single trim
  • Net dollar change across all 5 reporting funds: –$2.3M
  • Active manager mix: 2 asset managers (Nuveen, Ameriprise) vs 2 quants (Two Sigma, Citadel) vs 1 mega-passive (Morgan Stanley)
  • Analyst consensus is heavily bearish: 0% bullish (0 Buy/Strong Buy, 3 Hold, 3 Sell/Strong Sell)

Financial Impact

Aggregate institutional activity: $2.1M in new buying from Two Sigma and Nuveen vs $4.2M in trimming from Citadel, Morgan Stanley, and Ameriprise; net reduction of approximately $2.3M across disclosed positions

institutional ownershipfloat held by tracked filers

Risk Factors

  • 13F disclosure lag: positions are as of 2025-09-30; current holdings may differ materially
  • Small buyer base (only 2 funds) limits signal strength; cluster may not represent a broad thesis shift
  • Analyst consensus is 0% bullish with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings — fundamental headwinds may persist

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
State Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MSBI-2025-Q3
10 reports for MSBI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MSBI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$33.50awaiting T+60——
Oct 22, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$32.96awaiting T+60——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.56awaiting T+60——
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.25awaiting T+60——
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$32.25 $31.80▼ −1.40%▼ −4.69%—
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$30.53 $33.00▲ +8.09%▲ +5.46%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$29.63 $33.73▲ +13.84%▲ +9.44%—
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$25.00 $31.49▲ +25.96%▲ +20.88%—
Apr 3, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$23.25 $31.37▲ +34.92%▲ +21.46%—
Mar 23, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.84 $29.43▲ +34.75%▲ +20.43%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 18m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jun 11, 2026