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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

MRCY

Mercury Systems Inc
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive bookings surge and raised FY27 outlook dominate the narrative. Traders should watch the conference call for specific FY27 revenue guidance and margin targets. The $150M debt paydown improves the balance sheet. This is a demand-driven inflection point for a defense electronics supplier.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MRCY ▼ -14.88% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.88% · α vs SPY -12.93% · entry $101.25 → $86.18
Next anchor: T+60d in 15d
Latest observation: T+46 -7.86% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.93%
call -6.93% · α -6.09%
$94.23
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-11.35%
call -11.35% · α -10.96%
$89.76
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-14.88%
call -14.88% · α -12.93%
$86.18
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 15d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mercury Systems reported Q4 FY26 (Jul 3, 2026) revenue of $290M (+6.1% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.01, well below the $0.38 consensus estimate. However, the headline miss is misleading: the company delivered record bookings of $660M (93% YoY growth), record backlog of $1.9B, and guided for increased organic growth in FY27. The stock will likely react to the massive demand signal and raised outlook, not the GAAP EPS miss.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.01
est $0.38 · -97.4%
Revenue
$289.8M
est $266.4M · +8.8% · +6.1% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$28.6M
Gross Margin
30.57%

Key Facts

  • Record Q4 FY26 bookings of $660M, up 93.1% YoY, with book-to-bill of 2.28
  • Record backlog of over $1.9B, up 38.4% YoY
  • Record Q4 revenue of $290M, up 6.1% YoY
  • GAAP EPS $0.01 vs consensus $0.38 (miss), but adjusted EPS was $0.37
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $49M with 16.7% margin; operating cash flow $42M, FCF $29M
  • Full FY26 revenue $984M (+7.9% YoY), adjusted EPS $1.06 vs loss of $0.64 in FY25
  • Management increasing FY27 organic growth outlook based on strong demand signals
  • Debt reduced by $150M during Q4, ending at $441.5M

Financial Impact

Record bookings ($660M) and backlog ($1.9B) signal strong future revenue visibility; GAAP EPS miss is non-operational due to non-cash charges and stock compensation

revenuebookingsbacklogadjusted EPSfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • GAAP EPS miss vs consensus could cause short-term volatility
  • Execution risk on converting $1.9B backlog to revenue on schedule
  • Defense budget uncertainty and potential government shutdowns
  • Supply chain and component availability risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electronic Components & Accessories
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3347220
15 reports for MRCY
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +64.82%Apr 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MRCY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$75.69awaiting T+20—$79.71 (+5.31%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$87.25 $76.71▼ −12.08%▼ −15.26%$79.71 (−8.64%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$88.54 $80.12▼ −9.51%▼ −9.02%$79.71 (−9.97%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$89.76 $83.18▲ +7.34%▲ +7.56%$79.71 (+11.20%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$89.59 $83.88▼ −6.37%▼ −7.67%$79.71 (−11.03%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$94.23 $85.28▲ +9.50%▲ +9.50%$79.71 (+15.41%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$94.23 $85.28▼ −9.50%▼ −9.50%$79.71 (−15.41%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.23 $85.28▼ −9.50%▼ −9.50%$79.71 (−15.41%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$101.25 $86.18▼ −14.88%▼ −12.93%$79.71 (−21.27%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$90.17awaiting T+20—$79.71 (−11.60%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published Aug 18, 2026