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Institutional Cluster

MPB

MID PENN BANCORP INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The accumulation is entirely from passive/rebalancing desks, not active managers. Without a catalytic event or active-fund thesis, these flows are mechanical. Monitor for a follow-on 13F wave from active managers or a material corporate event (earnings, M&A, capital action) to confirm if real conviction is building.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MPB ▲ +10.26% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +10.26% · α vs SPY +5.86% · entry $33.92 → $37.40
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.00%
call +1.00% · α +0.46%
$34.26
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.59%
call -2.59% · α -3.03%
$33.04
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+1.00%
call +1.00% · α -0.89%
$34.26
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+10.26%
call +10.26% · α +5.86%
$37.40
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

A cluster of 4 large passive institutions (State Street, BofA, Wells Fargo, and Schwab) significantly increased their MPB positions in Q3 2025, adding a net $7.4M in aggregate holdings. The sole trim was a modest decrease by Morgan Stanley. While the buying is broad-based, it is entirely from mega-passive asset managers, suggesting index rebalancing or passive inflow-driven activity rather than a deliberate active-value thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$21.8M
Sell Value
$2.3M
Net Flow
$7.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $7.4M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetADD+29.3%$15.3M$3.6M
BofAADD+84%$1.0M$476.0K
Wells FargoADD+57.4%$719.0K$269.0K
SchwabDOUBLED+163.4%$4.8M$3.0M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyTRIM-31.1%$2.3M-$676.6K

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added a net $7.4M in MPB positions in Q3 2025 (aggregate current holdings $21.8M).
  • 1 seller (Morgan Stanley) trimmed by $677K — a relatively small reduction.
  • All institutions involved are mega-passive asset managers (State Street, BofA, Wells Fargo, Schwab), not active hedge funds or family offices.
  • Schwab doubled its position (+163.4% share increase, +$3.0M value added), the most aggressive move in the cluster.

Financial Impact

4 institutions accumulated $7.4M in net new value (aggregate buyer holdings rose from $14.4M to $21.8M); 1 seller reduced by ~$677K.

institutional ownershipfloat ownership

Risk Factors

  • Passive flows can reverse in the next rebalance window; no proven active conviction behind the buying.
  • MPB's small market cap ($855M) means even modest passive flows can mechanically shift institutional ownership percentages without reflecting fundamental views.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
State Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MPB-2025-Q3
11 reports for MPB
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +6.37%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MPB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$33.88awaiting T+5——
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$35.70 $36.04▲ +0.95%▲ +2.92%—
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$36.17 $35.97▼ −0.55%▼ −0.28%—
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.35 $38.31▼ −0.10%▼ −2.37%—
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$36.46 $38.54▲ +5.70%▲ +5.23%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.92 $33.04▼ −2.59%▼ −3.03%—
May 12, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.74 $31.84▲ +0.32%▲ +0.24%—
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$33.82 $33.60▲ +0.64%▲ +0.69%—
Mar 31, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.95 $33.87▲ +6.02%▲ +2.07%—
Mar 31, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.95 $33.87▲ +6.02%▲ +2.07%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026