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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

MODD

Modular Medical, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002698
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf effectiveness removes a procedural barrier to further capital raises, which the cash-burning, pre-revenue company is likely to use. Monitor for a prospectus supplement or ATM takedown announcement, which would signal immediate dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MODD ▼ -35.24% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +35.24% · α vs SPY +33.29% · entry $3.32 → $2.15
Next anchor: T+60d in 16d
Latest observation: T+46 +16.99% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.31%
call -3.31% · α -4.15%
$3.43
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.30%
call +0.30% · α -0.09%
$3.31
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-35.24%
call +35.24% · α +33.29%
$2.15
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 16d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Modular Medical's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-297993) became effective on August 18, 2026, allowing the company to sell securities under the shelf at any time. This follows a prior S-3 filed in April 2026 for up to $150 million in offerings, including a $100 million ATM program, and an S-1 IPO that went effective in February 2026. The effectiveness adds to the existing dilution overhang from outstanding warrants and the ATM facility, on a company with a going-concern warning and no commercial revenue.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-297993) declared effective on August 18, 2026.
  • Company has a prior S-3 effective from April 2026 for up to $150 million, including a $100 million ATM offering.
  • Company has a going-concern paragraph in its auditor's report and no commercialized products.
  • Over 3.4 million outstanding warrants create additional dilution overhang on a ~$25M market cap.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from shelf takedowns and existing ATM facility; no specific offering size disclosed in this filing.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Imminent equity offering or ATM drawdown diluting existing shareholders.
  • Going-concern risk if capital cannot be raised on favorable terms.
  • No commercial revenue to offset cash burn; reliance on capital markets for survival.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002698
Document: 9999999995-26-002698-index.html9999999995-26-002698
Document: 9999999995-26-002698.txt9999999995-26-002698
10 reports for MODD
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +43.16%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MODD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.08awaiting T+60—$1.65 (+20.67%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.32awaiting T+60—$1.65 (+50.30%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.03awaiting T+60—$1.65 (+18.72%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.65 $2.64▲ +43.16%▲ +48.18%$1.65 (+64.48%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.00 $3.24▲ +35.20%▲ +42.10%$1.65 (+67.00%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.00 $3.24▲ +35.20%▲ +42.10%$1.65 (+67.00%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.82 $3.99▼ −17.22%▼ −24.27%$1.65 (−65.77%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.70 $5.14▲ +9.82%▲ +19.91%$1.65 (+71.05%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.70 $5.14▼ −9.82%▼ −19.91%$1.65 (−71.05%)
Feb 27, 2026
34w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.41 $4.90▲ +33.87%▲ +43.26%$1.65 (+77.73%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 35m

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Report published Aug 19, 2026