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EFFECT ·Filed Sep 4, 2026

MOBX

MOBIX LABS, INC
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed1mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002884
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective registration allows the selling stockholder to sell shares at any time. Expect near-term downward pressure on MOBX as shares enter the market. Monitor for Form 4 filings or prospectus supplements indicating actual sales. The going-concern risk and lack of revenue make any additional dilution particularly toxic.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
MOBX ▼ -30.10% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +30.10% · α vs SPY +30.71% · entry $0.9301 → $0.6501
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 -17.46% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+36.54%
call -36.54% · α -37.09%
$1.27
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+9.67%
call -9.67% · α -10.87%
$1.02
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-30.10%
call +30.10% · α +30.71%
$0.6501
settled 21d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mobix Labs' S-1 registration (File No. 333-298645) became effective on September 3, 2026, enabling the immediate resale of up to 5,000,000 shares of Class A Common Stock by selling stockholder Kips Bay Select, LP. This represents ~22.9% dilution of current outstanding shares for a pre-revenue company with a going-concern warning, $183.4M accumulated deficit, and massive operating losses — the dilution overhang is now actionable.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: September 3, 2026
  • S-1 registers resale of up to 5,000,000 shares by Kips Bay Select, LP
  • Shares issuable upon conversion of Series A Preferred Stock and warrant exercise
  • Offering represents ~22.9% of current outstanding shares
  • Company is pre-revenue/early-stage with going-concern warning
  • Accumulated deficit of $183.4M as of June 2026
  • Operating loss of $22.3M in 9 months through June 2026

Financial Impact

Up to 5M shares (~22.9% dilution) now eligible for immediate resale, creating significant supply overhang

dilutionstock pricemarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution from resale of 5M shares
  • Going-concern risk with no path to profitability
  • Additional dilution from prior S-1 filings (3.74M shares) also effective
  • Potential inability to raise capital on favorable terms

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002884
Document: 9999999995-26-002884-index.html9999999995-26-002884
Document: 9999999995-26-002884.txt9999999995-26-002884
15 reports for MOBX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 7 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +65.96%Jul 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MOBX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7320awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (+3.69%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.7450awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (+1.88%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.7450awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (+1.88%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7800awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (−2.69%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7800awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (−2.69%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.13awaiting T+20—$0.7590 (−32.83%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9301 $0.6501▲ +30.10%▲ +30.71%$0.7590 (+18.40%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.32 $0.8419▲ +36.22%▲ +36.03%$0.7590 (+42.50%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.32 $0.8419▲ +36.22%▲ +36.03%$0.7590 (+42.50%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.97 $1.27▲ +35.53%▲ +39.98%$0.7590 (+61.47%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 4, 2026