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Institutional Cluster

MLTX

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive passive selling (especially Fidelity's near-exit) suggests index rebalancing or risk-off rotation, not a fundamental thesis. Monitor next 13F for further passive outflows and any active-manager entries that could signal a contrarian opportunity. The 77% analyst bullish consensus stands in sharp contrast to this institutional exit — a divergence that often precedes further downside if fundamentals disappoint.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MLTX ▼ -15.44% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +15.44% · α vs SPY +19.83% · entry $17.75 → $15.01
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.30%
call -5.30% · α -4.75%
$18.69
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+8.11%
call -8.11% · α -7.68%
$19.19
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+12.28%
call -12.28% · α -10.39%
$19.93
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-15.44%
call +15.44% · α +19.83%
$15.01
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

A cluster of 6 mega-passive institutional filers in MLTX shows a stark divergence: 3 small buyers (BofA, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley) added tiny positions totaling ~$1.9M in current value, while 3 massive sellers (BlackRock, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price) slashed holdings by a combined ~$280M. The net conviction is mixed but overwhelmingly bearish in dollar terms, driven by Fidelity's near-exit of a $270.5M position. This suggests passive rebalancing or risk reduction rather than a shared fundamental thesis, but the scale of selling dwarfs buying by over 100:1.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$1.9M
Sell Value
$279.9M
Net Flow
-$278.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$278.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+493.6%$1.8M-$200.7K
Wells FargoDOUBLED+618.3%$37.0K$3.0K
BofAADD+64.7%$32.0K-$97.4K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityNEAR_EXIT-87.3%$270.5M-$265.3M
BlackRockTRIM-61.7%$15.5M-$14.6M
T. Rowe PriceTRIM-68.5%$123.0K-$117.4K

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $1.9M in current holdings; 3 sellers reduced by $279.9M — net selling of ~$278M
  • Fidelity nearly exited: sold 5.0M shares, reducing a $270.5M position to $5.2M (87.3% trim)
  • BlackRock trimmed 61.7% of its stake, selling $14.6M worth
  • T. Rowe Price trimmed 68.5% of its stake, selling $117K worth
  • All 6 filers are mega-passive (index/rebalance-driven), not active managers — weakens signal of a shared thesis
  • Morgan Stanley doubled its position but the dollar value actually fell by $200K due to price decline

Financial Impact

3 passive institutions sold a combined $279.9M in MLTX stock during Q3 2025, while 3 others bought only $1.9M — a net outflow of ~$278M, representing roughly 21% of the company's $1.3B market cap

institutional ownershipfloatliquidity

Risk Factors

  • Passive selling may continue if MLTX is being removed from indices or if market-cap thresholds are breached
  • The 45-day reporting lag means these Q3 positions may already be fully unwound — current ownership could be even lower
  • Analyst consensus is heavily bullish (77% buy), creating potential for negative surprises if institutional selling reflects non-public concerns

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MLTX-2025-Q3
13 reports for MLTX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +45.35%Jul 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MLTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$17.23awaiting T+60——
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.33awaiting T+60——
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.33awaiting T+60——
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$19.05 $10.41▲ +45.35%▲ +50.19%—
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$19.99 $12.39▲ +38.02%▲ +41.87%—
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.00 $12.20▲ +39.00%▲ +42.29%—
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.16 $12.20▼ −44.95%▼ −46.69%—
Jun 21, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.16 $12.20▼ −44.95%▼ −46.69%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$17.75 $15.01▲ +15.44%▲ +19.83%—
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.82 $15.56▼ −17.32%▼ −18.55%—
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 27m

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Report published Jun 11, 2026