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Institutional Cluster

MITT

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The dominant institutional selling, particularly JPMorgan's near-total exit, signals continued skepticism despite the CHMI acquisition. Monitor upcoming 13F filings for further distribution and whether the acquisition closes as expected—if selling persists, the stock may face additional pressure.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MITT ▼ -2.38% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.38% · α vs SPY +0.63% · entry $6.72 → $6.56
Next anchor: T+60d in 9d
Latest observation: T+50 -3.67% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.60%
call -0.60% · α -0.79%
$6.76
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.15%
call +0.15% · α -1.82%
$6.71
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-2.38%
call +2.38% · α +0.63%
$6.56
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9d

Executive Summary

MITT's Q2 2026 13F cluster shows a mixed institutional picture with three small buyers (Citigroup, Russell Investments, Clearstead) adding $272K in net new positions, but three sellers—led by JPMorgan's near-exit of $1.36M—dominate with $1.45M in net selling. The selling is 5.3x larger than buying in dollar terms, consistent with the bearish Q2 earnings miss (EAD $0.24 vs $0.27 consensus) reported 3 days ago. The concurrent CHMI acquisition adds strategic scale but has not yet shifted institutional conviction positively at scale.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$355.0K
Sell Value
$1.5M
Net Flow
-$1.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$1.2M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
CitigroupDOUBLED+931.8%$110.0K$100.0K
Russell Investments GroupDOUBLED+214.8%$240.0K$170.0K
Clearstead AdvisorsADD+54.5%$5.0K$2.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
JPMorganNEAR_EXIT-93.7%$1.5M-$1.4M
Optiver Holding B.v.NEAR_EXIT-99.3%$2.0K-$2.2K
Deutsche BankTRIM-32.5%$317.0K-$85.2K

Key Facts

  • Net institutional selling of $1.45M vs buying of $272K, a 5.3x imbalance favoring sellers
  • JPMorgan reduced its MITT stake by 93.7% ($1.36M exit), the largest single move in the cluster
  • Q2 2026 EAD of $0.24 missed consensus by 10.9%, though book value rose to $10.00 and GAAP net income turned positive
  • No open-market insider buying detected in the 13F window (confluence score 18/100)
  • MITT announced a definitive agreement to acquire Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp (CHMI) on the same day as earnings

Financial Impact

3 institutions sold $1.45M in net value while 3 institutions bought $272K, for a net outflow of approximately $1.18M

institutional_ownershipfloat_percentage

Risk Factors

  • Institutional selling may accelerate if Q3 EAD disappoints again
  • CHMI acquisition integration risks could dilute near-term book value
  • MITT's small market cap ($214M) amplifies impact of any single large seller
  • No insider buying to corroborate institutional accumulation thesis

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MITT-2026-Q2
7 reports for MITT
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +7.28%Aug 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MITT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.63awaiting T+20——
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.63awaiting T+20——
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$6.72 $6.56▲ +2.38%▲ +0.63%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.32 $6.78▼ −7.28%▼ −8.19%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.32 $6.78▲ +7.28%▲ +8.19%—
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.67 $7.90▲ +2.96%▼ −1.34%—
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.87 $7.16▼ −8.98%▼ −1.04%—
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (12h 3m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026