SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

MEDP

Medpace Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6d 5h ago SEC0001668397-26-000034
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and $1.0B buyback authorization are the key catalysts. Watch the Q4 2026 earnings call for backlog conversion rates and net new award momentum — the 0.88x book-to-bill in Q1 2026 improved to a stronger Q3, but the full-year conversion rate will determine whether the raised guidance is achievable.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
MEDP ▲ +2.33% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.33% · α vs SPY +2.85% · entry $653.96 → $669.20
Next anchor: T+5d in 10h
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.33%
call +2.33% · α +2.85%
$669.20
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 10h
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Medpace reported Q3 2026 revenue of $716.0M (+8.5% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $4.84, slightly below consensus estimates of $4.87. Net new business awards rose 10.6% to $873.4M, backlog grew 5.6% to $3.17B, and EBITDA margin expanded to 24.0% from 22.5%. The company raised its full-year 2026 guidance: revenue now $2.835B-$2.855B (from $2.755B-$2.855B) and EPS $17.97-$18.32 (from $16.68-$17.50), and the Board approved a new $1.0B share repurchase authorization through 2028, replacing the prior $527M remaining authorization.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$4.84
est $4.87 · -0.6%
Revenue
$716.0M
est $718.7M · -0.4% · +8.5% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$2.835B-$2.855B
raised

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 revenue $716.0M, +8.5% YoY (vs $659.9M); constant-currency +8.6%
  • GAAP diluted EPS $4.84 vs $3.86 YoY (+25.4%); consensus was $4.87 (miss by 0.6%)
  • Net new business awards $873.4M, +10.6% YoY; backlog $3,167.2M, +5.6% YoY
  • EBITDA $172.1M, +16.0% YoY; EBITDA margin 24.0% vs 22.5%
  • FY 2026 guidance raised: revenue $2.835B-$2.855B (prior $2.755B-$2.855B); EPS $17.97-$18.32 (prior $16.68-$17.50)
  • New $1.0B share repurchase authorization approved through Dec 2028, replacing $527M remaining authorization
  • Cash and equivalents $705.3M; Q3 operating cash flow $216.6M; no share repurchases in Q3

Financial Impact

Guidance raised by $80M at midpoint on revenue and $1.06 at midpoint on EPS; new $1.0B buyback authorization signals strong capital return

revenueepsebitdabacklogshare repurchase authorization

Risk Factors

  • EPS slightly missed consensus ($4.84 vs $4.87), which may cause short-term volatility
  • Revenue growth decelerated sharply to 8.5% from 26.5% in Q1 2026, signaling normalization
  • Net income margin compressed to 19.2% from 20.5% in Q1 2026, though improved from 16.8% YoY

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001668397-26-000034
Document: medp-20261020.htm0001668397-26-000034
Document: 0001668397-26-000034-index-headers.html0001668397-26-000034
Document: 0001668397-26-000034-index.html0001668397-26-000034
Document: 0001668397-26-000034.txt0001668397-26-000034
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001668397-26-000034
20 reports for MEDP
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +11.09%Dec 4, 2025
Filters
Rows
Reports for MEDP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$673.20awaiting T+1—$673.79 (+0.09%)
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$676.79awaiting T+1—$673.79 (−0.44%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$669.20 $676.77▲ +1.13%▲ +0.42%$673.79 (+0.69%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$653.96 $669.20▲ +2.33%▲ +2.85%$673.79 (+3.03%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$622.11 $624.18▲ +0.33%▲ +0.54%$673.79 (+8.31%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$583.21 $593.02▲ +1.68%▲ +1.24%$673.79 (+15.53%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$593.99 $583.21▼ −1.81%▼ −1.13%$673.79 (+13.43%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$600.65 $593.99▼ −1.11%▼ −0.81%$673.79 (+12.18%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$619.05 $611.57▲ +1.21%▲ +1.86%$673.79 (−8.84%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$614.06 $619.05▲ +0.81%▲ +0.79%$673.79 (+9.73%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 46m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Oct 21, 2026