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8-K ·Filed May 4, 2026

MED

MEDIFAST INC
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-029812
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Sustained revenue erosion and coach attrition indicate no near-term catalyst. With FY guidance unchanged, watch for further coach declines and potential cost actions. The stock may continue to drift lower given the lack of inflection.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MED ▼ -23.89% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +23.89% · α vs SPY +26.63% · entry $13.02 → $9.91
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.53%
call +2.53% · α +3.92%
$12.69
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-3.46%
call +3.46% · α +5.44%
$12.57
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-5.07%
call +5.07% · α +10.02%
$12.36
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-23.89%
call +23.89% · α +26.63%
$9.91
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Medifast reported Q1 2026 revenue of $76.0M, down 34.3% YoY, and a net loss of $0.19 per share, widening from a $0.07 loss a year ago. Active earning coaches fell 44.9% to 14,000, with management expecting further declines. FY 2026 guidance was maintained at $270-300M revenue and $(1.55)-$(2.75) EPS, but Q2 guidance of $60-80M revenue and $(0.50)-$(1.00) EPS signals continued pressure from GLP-1 competition.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.19
est −$0.55 · +65.5%
Revenue
$76.0M
-34.3% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$60M-$80M (Q2), $270M-$300M (FY)
maintained
Gross Margin
68.1%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $76.0M vs $115.7M prior year, down 34.3%
  • Net loss $(0.19) per diluted share vs $(0.07) prior
  • Active earning coaches 14,000, down 44.9% YoY
  • Q2 2026 guidance: revenue $60-80M, EPS $(0.50)-(1.00)
  • FY 2026 guidance maintained: revenue $270-300M, EPS $(1.55)-(2.75)
  • Cash and investments $168.9M, zero debt

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 34.3% and widening losses; structural headwinds from GLP-1 adoption

revenueepscoach countgross margin

Risk Factors

  • Continued revenue decline from GLP-1 displacement
  • Inability to stabilize coach network
  • Cash burn if losses persist despite strong balance sheet

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous Food Preparations & Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-029812
Document: med-20260504.htm0001628280-26-029812
Document: 0001628280-26-029812-index-headers.html0001628280-26-029812
Document: 0001628280-26-029812-index.html0001628280-26-029812
Document: 0001628280-26-029812.txt0001628280-26-029812
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-029812
15 reports for MED
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +3.69%Aug 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MED — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$11.56awaiting T+5—$12.55 (+8.56%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.06 $12.17▲ +0.91%▲ +1.93%$12.55 (+4.06%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.51 $11.67▲ +1.39%▲ +1.53%$12.55 (+9.04%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.43 $11.43· 0.00%▼ −1.30%$12.55 (+9.80%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.18 $12.63▲ +3.69%▲ +3.59%$12.55 (+3.04%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.22 $12.67▲ +3.68%▲ +3.80%$12.55 (+2.70%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.95 $12.18▲ +1.92%▲ +1.45%$12.55 (+5.02%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.26 $9.45▼ −7.89%▼ −7.21%$12.55 (+22.32%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.70 $12.10▼ −4.72%▼ −1.97%$12.55 (−1.18%)
May 26, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.72 $12.36▼ −2.83%▼ −4.04%$12.55 (−1.34%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 51m

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Report published May 4, 2026