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8-K ·Filed Oct 28, 2026

MCHB

Mechanics Bancorp
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2d 5h ago SEC0001518715-26-000070
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The earnings miss and declining NIM are negative, but the balance sheet restructuring (securities and auto loan sale) and improving core efficiency suggest management is positioning for better profitability in 2027. Watch for the announced Q4 special dividend and whether NIM stabilizes as expected given the rate-sensitive deposit base.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d ⚠ clustered
MCHB ▼ -0.20% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.20% · α vs SPY -1.57% · entry $14.67 → $14.64
Next anchor: T+5d in 4d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.20%
call +0.20% · α -1.57%
$14.64
settled yesterday
T+5d
Pending
in 4d
T+20d
Pending
in 25d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mechanics Bancorp reported Q3 2026 GAAP net income of $46.0M ($0.20 diluted EPS), down from $57.7M ($0.25) in Q2 2026 and below the $0.28 consensus. Net interest income fell 1.3% to $174.9M as NIM compressed 7 bps to 3.55% on higher deposit costs. The quarter included a $32.3M loss on AFS securities restructuring, a $10.3M loss on auto loan sale, and a $15.2M provision release. Core net income was $60.6M. Management guided for a ~$100M special dividend in Q4 and expects ~17% ROATCE and ~1.2% ROAA in 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.20
est $0.28 · -28.6%
Revenue
$174.9M
est $185.1M · -5.5%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 GAAP net income of $46.0M ($0.20 diluted EPS) vs $57.7M ($0.25) in Q2 2026 and $68.3M ($0.31) in Q3 2025
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.20 missed consensus estimate of $0.28
  • Net interest income fell to $174.9M from $177.2M in Q2 2026; NIM compressed 7 bps to 3.55%
  • Completed $308M securities restructuring with $32.3M pre-tax loss; sold $417M auto loans with $10.3M loss on sale
  • Total provision reversal of $15.2M driven by lower expected losses on multifamily/CRE and auto portfolio sale
  • Total assets declined to $20.9B from $21.2B; loans fell $563M to $13.0B; deposits down $70M to $18.0B
  • Book value per share fell to $11.59 from $12.15; tangible book value per share fell to $7.05 from $7.56
  • CET1 ratio improved to 14.73% from 14.39%; total risk-based capital ratio 16.98%
  • Management expects ~$100M special dividend in Q4 2026 and ~17% ROATCE in 2027
  • Core net income (non-GAAP) was $60.6M; core efficiency ratio improved to 54.4% from 56.0%

Financial Impact

GAAP net income of $46.0M missed consensus by ~29%; core net income of $60.6M was above GAAP but still below prior quarter's $57.7M GAAP; book value declined 4.6% sequentially

net incomeearnings per sharenet interest incomenet interest marginbook valuetangible book value

Risk Factors

  • Deposit cost pressures persist with cost of deposits rising 8 bps to 1.33%; management expects three more Fed rate hikes over next 12 months
  • AOCI decreased $112M in Q3 due to higher interest rates, pressuring tangible book value
  • Loan portfolio continues to shrink ($563M decline) as auto loans were sold and repayments outpace originations
  • GAAP EPS of $0.20 missed consensus of $0.28 by a wide margin

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
State Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
70% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001518715-26-000070
Document: mchb-investorpresentatio.htm0001518715-26-000070
Document: hmst-20261028.htm0001518715-26-000070
Document: 0001518715-26-000070-index-headers.html0001518715-26-000070
Document: 0001518715-26-000070-index.html0001518715-26-000070
Document: 0001518715-26-000070.txt0001518715-26-000070
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001518715-26-000070
3 reports for MCHB
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
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Reports for MCHB, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 28, 2026
2d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.67 $14.64▲ +0.20%▼ −1.57%$14.64 (+0.20%)
Jun 11, 2026
20w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$15.17 $15.43▲ +1.71%▲ +1.17%$14.64 (−3.49%)
May 13, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.92 $13.73▼ −1.37%▼ −0.14%$14.64 (+5.20%)
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Mon (35h 51m)

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Report published Oct 28, 2026