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Institutional Cluster

MBX

MBX Biosciences, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 10 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for any subsequent insider transactions or corporate announcements that may have driven this buying. Given the 45-day 13F lag, verify if the cluster has persisted via next quarter's filings. The heavy passive buying suggests index inclusion may have occurred, reducing stock-specific signal.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MBX ▲ +65.69% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +65.69% · α vs SPY +61.30% · entry $37.25 → $61.72
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.67%
call -4.67% · α -5.21%
$35.51
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+11.65%
call +11.65% · α +11.22%
$41.59
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+76.40%
call +76.40% · α +74.51%
$65.71
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+65.69%
call +65.69% · α +61.30%
$61.72
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

A major institutional cluster in MBX Biosciences shows 10 funds adding $105.9M in holdings (led by BlackRock +$57.8M and D.E. Shaw entering with $21.2M) against 2 sellers trimming $20.5M in value. The buying is dominated by passive index funds, likely reflecting index inclusion or rebalancing, though D.E. Shaw's new position signals potential catalyst-driven interest. Historical underperformance of prior calls on MBX tempers conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$150.7M
Sell Value
$85.6M
Net Flow
$126.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $126.4M

▲ Buyers (10)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRockADD+49.2%$92.1M$57.8M
D.E. ShawNEW+0%$21.2M$21.2M
State StreetDOUBLED+110.7%$21.2M$15.6M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityNEAR_EXIT-77.2%$1.2M-$710.5K
Wellington Management GroupTRIM-30.5%$84.4M$21.2M

Key Facts

  • 10 institutional buyers added $105.9M in value; 2 sellers shed $20.5M in value (net +$126.4M).
  • BlackRock increased by $57.8M (49.2% shares), now holds $92.1M.
  • D.E. Shaw initiated a new $21.2M position (671.8K shares).
  • State Street doubled its stake, adding $15.6M.
  • Wellington Management trimmed 30.5% of shares but value rose $21.2M due to stock appreciation.
  • Fidelity nearly exited, reducing 77.2% of shares.

Financial Impact

Aggregate institutional buying of $126.4M (net value change) across 12 funds, with 10 buyers accumulating $150.7M in current holdings and 2 sellers reducing to $106.2M.

ownership concentrationinstitutional demand

Risk Factors

  • Passive fund dominance weakens the signal's fundamental thesis.
  • Positions are as of 45 days ago; cluster may have been unwound.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MBX-2025-Q4
27 reports for MBX
Performance horizon
78% Hit rate @ T+1 7 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +85.57%May 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.46 $48.50▼ −3.88%▼ −3.36%—
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.46 $48.50▼ −3.88%▼ −3.36%—
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$66.39 $63.00▼ −5.11%▼ −4.88%—
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.25 $66.52▼ −2.53%▼ −1.86%—
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$67.11 $67.82▲ +1.06%▲ +0.45%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$35.51 $38.98▲ +9.77%▲ +8.01%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$35.51 $38.98▲ +9.77%▲ +8.01%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$37.25 $35.51▼ −4.67%▼ −5.21%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.25 $35.51▼ −4.67%▼ −5.21%—
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.99 $37.25▲ +20.20%▲ +18.50%—
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 36m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026