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8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

MBX

MBX Biosciences, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-210825
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The EPS beat and strong cash position are positive, but the stock will likely trade on pipeline catalysts. Watch obesity day (May 11) for initial MBX 4291 data and ENDO presentation (June) for full canvuparatide Phase 2 results.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MBX ▲ +85.57% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +85.57% · α vs SPY +81.73% · entry $34.71 → $64.41
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+18.02%
call +18.02% · α +17.19%
$40.97
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+8.04%
call +8.04% · α +6.53%
$37.50
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-13.43%
call -13.43% · α -16.56%
$30.05
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+85.57%
call +85.57% · α +81.73%
$64.41
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MBX Biosciences reported Q1 2026 results with an EPS of -$0.50, beating consensus of -$0.62 by 19.4%. Net loss narrowed slightly to $23.5M from $23.9M a year ago, while cash position strengthened to $440M providing runway into 2029. Pipeline milestones remain on track, including Phase 3 initiation for canvuparatide in Q3 2026 and obesity data events.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.50
est −$0.62 · +19.4%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • EPS of -$0.50 beat consensus of -$0.62 by 19.4%
  • Cash and investments of $440.0M, up from $373.7M at Dec 2025
  • Net loss of $23.5M improved slightly vs $23.9M in Q1 2025
  • Phase 3 trial of canvuparatide on track to initiate in Q3 2026
  • Obesity Day on May 11 with initial blinded Phase 1 data for MBX 4291
  • Phase 2 Avail results for canvuparatide accepted for oral presentation at ENDO June 2026

Financial Impact

EPS beat of ~$0.12 (19.4%) vs consensus, but no revenue stream to impact

epscash positionnet loss

Risk Factors

  • Clinical trial failures for lead programs (canvuparatide, MBX 4291)
  • Cash burn rate may accelerate with Phase 3 initiation
  • No approved products or revenue

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-210825
Document: mbx-20260507.htm0001193125-26-210825
Document: 0001193125-26-210825-index-headers.html0001193125-26-210825
Document: 0001193125-26-210825-index.html0001193125-26-210825
Document: 0001193125-26-210825.txt0001193125-26-210825
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-210825
27 reports for MBX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 6 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +77.39%Jun 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.46 $48.50▼ −3.88%▼ −3.36%$51.63 (+2.31%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.46 $48.50▼ −3.88%▼ −3.36%$51.63 (+2.31%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$66.39 $63.00▼ −5.11%▼ −4.88%$51.63 (−22.24%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.25 $66.52▼ −2.53%▼ −1.86%$51.63 (−24.36%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$67.11 $67.82▲ +1.06%▲ +0.45%$51.63 (−23.07%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$35.51 $38.98▲ +9.77%▲ +8.01%$51.63 (+45.38%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$35.51 $38.98▲ +9.77%▲ +8.01%$51.63 (+45.38%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$37.25 $35.51▼ −4.67%▼ −5.21%$51.63 (+38.59%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.25 $35.51▼ −4.67%▼ −5.21%$51.63 (+38.59%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.99 $37.25▲ +20.20%▲ +18.50%$51.63 (+66.59%)
Showing 10 of 27

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Report published May 7, 2026