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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Sep 29, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed27d 18h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The Q1 2027 Part A data readout is the next major binary catalyst. The shift to more 'unfit' subjects (50/50 vs prior 70/30) may lower absolute remission rates but could broaden the addressable label if efficacy holds. Monitor for any financing needs ahead of the readout.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
MBRX ▼ -4.94% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call -4.94% · α vs SPY -4.73% · entry $0.5264 → $0.5004
Next anchor: T+5d due 21d ago
Latest observation: T+4 -8.22% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.94%
call -4.94% · α -4.73%
$0.5004
settled 27d ago
T+5d
Pending
due 21d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 5h
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin announced completion of Part A enrollment in the pivotal Phase 2/3 MIRACLE trial of Annamycin for R/R AML, with 89 subjects enrolled and a comprehensive data readout expected in Q1 2027. The filing contains no financial results — the EPS miss of -6215.8% vs consensus is a mechanical artifact of a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with minuscule absolute EPS, not a business deterioration signal.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$28.00
est −$0.44 · -6215.8%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Part A enrollment completed with 89 subjects enrolled; one additional subject in screening
  • Comprehensive Part A data readout expected in Q1 2027
  • Estimated 50/50 split between 'fit' (prior 7+3) and 'unfit' (prior venetoclax-based) subjects in full Part A population, vs ~70/30 in first 45 subjects
  • No cardiotoxicity observed in blinded data to date
  • EPS reported at -$28.00 vs consensus -$0.44; revenue $0 (pre-revenue clinical-stage company)

Financial Impact

No financial data reported; pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with no product sales. The EPS miss is a mechanical artifact of share-count changes and one-time items on a minuscule absolute base.

Risk Factors

  • Shift in Part A composition to more 'unfit' subjects may reduce absolute remission rates vs prior interim data
  • Company requires significant additional financing with no commitments; cash runway risk
  • Single-cycle therapy design may produce lower absolute remission rates than multi-cycle historical benchmarks
  • Pre-revenue stage with no product sales; stock price driven entirely by trial outcomes

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3370867
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 7 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 16 best @ T+60▲ +1671.25%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690 $7.09▲ +1145.17%▲ +1145.20%$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Sep 29, 2026