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8-K ·Filed Sep 23, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001437749-26-031005
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The patent grant is a long-term IP positive but does not change near-term fundamentals. The real story is the accelerating dilution: the ATM and warrant anti-dilution adjustment signal ongoing cash burn with no disclosed revenue. Monitor the MIRACLE trial data readout and the next 10-Q for cash runway and burn rate.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MBRX ▲ +1095.30% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +1095.30% · α vs SPY +1094.61% · entry $0.5279 → $6.31
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 23, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+7.39%
call +7.39% · α +7.47%
$0.5669
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-5.21%
call -5.21% · α -4.53%
$0.5004
settled 27d ago
T+20d
+1095.30%
call +1095.30% · α +1094.61%
$6.31
settled 6d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin Biotech announced the grant of Mexican Patent No. 436849 protecting its lung-targeted liposomal Annamycin technology through 2040, a positive but non-material IP milestone for a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech. Concurrently, the company disclosed ongoing dilution: 888,400 shares were issued via ATM in September 2026 for $0.48M gross proceeds, and the exercise price of 37.1M Series I Warrants was reduced from $0.75 to $0.51 per share due to anti-dilution provisions, increasing potential future dilution.

Key Facts

  • Mexican Patent Office granted Patent No. 436849 for lung-targeted liposomal Annamycin, in force until November 23, 2040.
  • In September 2026, the company issued 888,400 shares via ATM for aggregate gross proceeds of $0.48 million.
  • Post-ATM issuance, shares outstanding will be 20,385,780.
  • Series I Warrants (37,130,001 shares, issued Aug 3, 2026) exercise price reduced from $0.75 to $0.51 per share due to anti-dilution provisions triggered by the ATM issuance.
  • Series I Warrants expire five years from closing date (Aug 2026).

Financial Impact

ATM raised $0.48M gross; Series I Warrants at $0.51 exercise price represent potential additional dilution of up to 37.1M shares (182% of current outstanding). No revenue or earnings data provided.

dilutionshare countcash

Risk Factors

  • Massive potential dilution from 37.1M Series I Warrants at $0.51, now in-the-money relative to likely trading levels.
  • No revenue; pre-revenue clinical-stage company reliant on equity financing.
  • ATM program remains active with Roth Capital, allowing further dilution without shareholder vote.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-031005
Exhibit: ex_1018564.htm0001437749-26-031005
Document: 0001437749-26-031005-index-headers.html0001437749-26-031005
Document: 0001437749-26-031005-index.html0001437749-26-031005
Document: 0001437749-26-031005.txt0001437749-26-031005
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 7 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 10 of 16 best @ T+60▲ +1671.25%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690 $7.09▲ +1145.17%▲ +1145.20%$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Sep 23, 2026