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8-K ·Filed May 15, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001437749-26-017226
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The June 2026 unblinding of MIRACLE trial data is the critical near-term catalyst. Positive results could validate Annamycin's efficacy and significantly de-risk the program, but the company will need additional financing soon given the cash runway. Monitor for any pre-release leaks or analyst notes. A binary event with asymmetric upside if data is positive.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MBRX ▼ -78.91% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -78.91% · α vs SPY -83.43% · entry $2.11 → $0.4450
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.95%
call -0.95% · α -0.89%
$2.09
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+13.27%
call +13.27% · α +12.31%
$2.39
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+28.44%
call +28.44% · α +26.32%
$2.71
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-78.91%
call -78.91% · α -83.43%
$0.4450
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin reported Q1 2026 results with no revenue, a net loss of $(14.6M) or $(3.54) per share, and $10.3M cash (into Q3 2026). Key news is the completion of 45-subject enrollment in the pivotal MIRACLE trial, with blinded 40% CRc rate reaffirmed and first interim unblinding expected in June 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$3.54
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00

Key Facts

  • MIRACLE trial enrollment of first 45 subjects completed; interim unblinding expected June 2026
  • Blinded composite complete remission (CRc) rate remains 40% at both 30- and 45-subject marks
  • Q1 2026 net loss available to common stockholders of $14.6M ($3.54 per share), vs $5.9M ($15.80 per share) in Q1 2025
  • Cash and cash equivalents $10.3M as of March 31, 2026, expected to fund operations into Q3 2026
  • R&D expenses increased to $5.4M from $3.4M, driven by MIRACLE trial costs

Financial Impact

Operating loss widened to $7.9M in Q1 2026 vs $5.9M in Q1 2025; no revenue. Cash burn rate ~$2.6M/month. Stock price movement likely driven by clinical catalyst rather than financials.

net losscash positionR&D expenses

Risk Factors

  • MIRACLE trial unblinding could show negative or inconclusive efficacy
  • Cash runway only into Q3 2026; dilutive financing likely needed
  • Pre-revenue company with no approved products; regulatory approval uncertain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-017226
Document: mbrx20260514_8k.htm0001437749-26-017226
Document: 0001437749-26-017226-index-headers.html0001437749-26-017226
Document: 0001437749-26-017226-index.html0001437749-26-017226
Document: 0001437749-26-017226.txt0001437749-26-017226
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-017226
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
46% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 16 best @ T+60▲ +78.91%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
16d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 38m)

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Report published May 15, 2026