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8-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001437749-26-016535
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for unblinding results before June 30, 2026 – positive data could drive substantial upside given small market cap. Risk of dilution remains as company needs additional financing.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MBRX ▼ -80.86% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -80.86% · α vs SPY -85.30% · entry $2.14 → $0.4095
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.80%
call +2.80% · α +2.03%
$2.20
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+9.81%
call +9.81% · α +10.97%
$2.35
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+26.17%
call +26.17% · α +26.78%
$2.70
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-80.86%
call -80.86% · α -85.30%
$0.4095
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin Biotech announced preliminary blinded data from its pivotal Phase 2B/3 MIRACLE trial for Annamycin in relapsed/refractory AML, showing a complete remission rate of approximately 30% vs historical ~17-18% for standard of care. The first unblinding of 45 subjects is expected before June 30, 2026, representing a potential catalyst. Recruitment is on track with 56 of 90 subjects enrolled.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary blinded CR rate approximates 30%, representing ~67% improvement over historical benchmarks of ~17-18%
  • First data unblinding of 45 subjects expected before June 30, 2026
  • 56 subjects recruited to date (62% of Part A target of 90 subjects)
  • Trial includes two Annamycin doses + cytarabine vs cytarabine + placebo
  • Over 30% of enrolled patients had prior venetoclax treatment, a challenging subgroup

Financial Impact

No revenue reported; clinical milestone could significantly affect stock price for this $12M market cap biotech

Risk Factors

  • Unblinded data may not confirm preliminary blinded results
  • Company requires significant additional financing with no commitments
  • Clinical trial risk: failure to meet primary endpoint

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-016535
Exhibit: ex_960684.htm0001437749-26-016535
Document: 0001437749-26-016535-index-headers.html0001437749-26-016535
Document: 0001437749-26-016535-index.html0001437749-26-016535
Document: 0001437749-26-016535.txt0001437749-26-016535
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
42% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 12 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 15 best @ T+60▲ +78.91%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
16d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 38m)

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Report published May 13, 2026