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8-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-025167
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The consistent blinded CRc across harder-to-treat subgroups is a positive signal, but the stock remains binary on the unblinded Part A readout. Traders should monitor enrollment completion and any early unblinding announcements; the next major catalyst is the full Part A data expected in late 2026 to early 2027.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MBRX ▲ +1671.25% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +1671.25% · α vs SPY +1668.79% · entry $0.4000 → $7.09
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.25%
call +6.25% · α +4.83%
$0.4250
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.38%
call +2.38% · α -1.14%
$0.4095
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+62.48%
call +62.48% · α +59.49%
$0.6499
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+1671.25%
call +1671.25% · α +1668.79%
$7.09
settled 21h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin reported updated preliminary blinded results from Part A of its pivotal MIRACLE trial for Annamycin in R/R AML, showing a 37% composite complete remission (CRc) rate among 62 evaluable subjects, including a 37% CRc in the 48% of patients who had failed prior venetoclax therapy. The blinded CRc has remained in a narrow 37-40% band across three analyses while the population became harder to treat, and enrollment is at 74 of 90 subjects with unblinded results expected in the December 2026–February 2027 timeframe. The data is encouraging but still blinded and includes control-arm subjects, so the definitive catalyst remains months away.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary blinded CRc of 37% (n=62) in R/R AML, with CR of 24%
  • Among 30 patients (48%) who failed prior venetoclax, CRc was also 37% (3x published salvage rate of ~13%)
  • Enrollment at 74 of 90 subjects; final Part A treatment expected September 2026
  • Unblinded comprehensive Part A results on track for December 2026–February 2027
  • No evidence of cardiotoxicity observed

Financial Impact

Positive clinical data supports regulatory pathway and potential partnering; no financial figures reported

Risk Factors

  • Data is still blinded and includes control-arm subjects; final unblinded results may differ
  • Company requires significant additional financing with no commitments (per forward-looking statements)
  • Micro-cap stock with high volatility and binary trial risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-025167
Exhibit: ex_995334.htm0001437749-26-025167
Document: 0001437749-26-025167-index-headers.html0001437749-26-025167
Document: 0001437749-26-025167-index.html0001437749-26-025167
Document: 0001437749-26-025167.txt0001437749-26-025167
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
46% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 15 best @ T+20▲ +1145.17%Sep 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690 $7.09▲ +1145.17%▲ +1145.20%$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 4h 13m

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Report published Jul 31, 2026