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8-K ·Filed Aug 14, 2026

MBRX

Moleculin Biotech, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-027835
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong interim efficacy data (CR 3x control) is a major catalyst for MBRX, supporting Annamycin's potential in R/R AML. Monitor the 90-patient unblinding in Dec 2026–Feb 2027 for confirmation. The recent dilutive offering at $0.75/share creates overhang, but positive data could drive revaluation if sustained. Cash runway into Q1 2027 requires additional financing for Part B and NDA submission.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MBRX ▲ +26.63% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +26.63% · α vs SPY +28.62% · entry $0.6122 → $0.7752
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.85%
call -0.85% · α -0.38%
$0.6070
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-3.14%
call -3.14% · α -1.77%
$0.5930
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+26.63%
call +26.63% · α +28.62%
$0.7752
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin Biotech reported Q2 2026 results highlighting positive interim MIRACLE trial data showing complete remission rates three times higher than control (43%/36% vs 12%) in relapsed/refractory AML. The company ended Q2 with $7.3M cash and raised $9.3M post-quarter, extending runway into Q1 2027. Net loss per share improved to -$1.40 from -$28.68 YoY, driven by higher share count and warrant-related gains, but operating losses widened to $7.6M.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.40
est −$1.55 · +9.7%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00 · 0.0%
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Interim MIRACLE data: CR 43% (190 mg/m² arm) and 36% (230 mg/m²) vs 12% control; CRc 50% and 57% vs 29% control
  • Cash and equivalents $7.3M at June 30, 2026; plus $9.3M raised post-quarter, funding operations into Q1 2027
  • Net loss per share -$1.40 (GAAP) vs consensus -$1.55, a 9.7% beat; revenue $0 (pre-revenue)
  • Enrollment on track for 90-patient milestone in September 2026; unblinded efficacy readout expected Dec 2026–Feb 2027
  • No detectable cardiotoxicity observed; ASCO 2026 data supports differentiated safety profile

Financial Impact

Positive interim MIRACLE data significantly de-risks Annamycin; cash runway extended into Q1 2027 with $9.3M post-quarter raise; recent dilutive offering at $0.75/share creates ~66% discount overhang

cashdilutionclinical trial milestones

Risk Factors

  • Recent dilutive offering at $0.75/share (66% discount) increases share count significantly
  • Cash runway only into Q1 2027; additional financing needed for Part B and NDA submission
  • Clinical risk: 90-patient unblinding may not confirm interim results; regulatory path uncertain
  • Pre-revenue with no approved products; stock price highly sensitive to trial outcomes

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-027835
Document: mbrx20260811_8k.htm0001437749-26-027835
Document: 0001437749-26-027835-index-headers.html0001437749-26-027835
Document: 0001437749-26-027835-index.html0001437749-26-027835
Document: 0001437749-26-027835.txt0001437749-26-027835
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-027835
30 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
42% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 12 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 15 best @ T+60▲ +78.91%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.19awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+14.46%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.2804awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+2426.75%)
Oct 9, 2026
16d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4139awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1611.77%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4766awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1386.57%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.5264awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1245.93%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5690awaiting T+20—$7.09 (+1145.17%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6016 $6.50▲ +980.45%▲ +981.93%$7.09 (+1077.69%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5279 $6.31▲ +1095.30%▲ +1094.61%$7.09 (+1242.11%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.5202awaiting T+20—$7.09 (−1261.98%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 37m)

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Report published Aug 14, 2026