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8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

MBC

MasterBrand, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001941365-26-000054
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Despite a revenue beat vs consensus, the magnitude of YoY EBITDA decline and tariff uncertainty in housing-exposed end markets warrant caution. Monitor the pending American Woodmark merger close and Q2 results for signs of margin stabilization. The elevated leverage and negative free cash flow (-$146M YTD) limit financial flexibility.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MBC ▲ +7.14% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -7.14% · α vs SPY -5.08% · entry $7.70 → $8.25
Entry = T+0 close
May 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.33%
$7.70
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-6.75%
call +6.75% · α +7.88%
$7.18
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+10.39%
call -10.39% · α -7.61%
$8.50
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+7.14%
call -7.14% · α -5.08%
$8.25
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MasterBrand reported Q1 2026 net sales of $618.0M, down 6.4% YoY, missing GAAP EPS consensus by $0.08 (reported -$0.12 vs consensus -$0.04). Adjusted EBITDA fell 58% to $28.0M, meeting the company's guided range. Guidance for Q2 calls for continued mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline and adjusted EBITDA of $51-$61M. The combination of tariff headwinds, weak demand, and elevated leverage (3.7x net debt/EBITDA) overshadows the in-line execution.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.12
est −$0.04 · -200.0%
Revenue
$618.0M
est $591.4M · +4.5% · -6.4% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
mid-to-high single-digit decline (implied $600M-$620M)
maintained
Free Cash Flow
-$146.2M
Gross Margin
25.3%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net sales $618.0M, down 6.4% YoY; GAAP net loss $15.4M vs net income $13.3M a year ago
  • Adjusted EBITDA $28.0M (margin 4.5%), down from $67.1M (10.2%) in Q1 2025
  • GAAP diluted EPS -$0.12 vs consensus -$0.04; adjusted diluted EPS $0.06 vs $0.18 YoY
  • Gross tariff costs ~$25M in Q1; full-year tariff costs expected at 5-6% of net sales
  • Net debt $946.5M with leverage of 3.7x trailing adjusted EBITDA; credit agreement amended for flexibility
  • Q2 2026 guidance: net sales down mid-to-high single digits; adjusted EBITDA $51-$61M; adjusted EPS $0.03-$0.13
  • Company no longer expects full-year effective tax rate improvement; pending American Woodmark merger expected to close in Q2 2026

Financial Impact

Net sales decline of $42.3M YoY; adjusted EBITDA down $39.1M; GAAP net loss swing of $28.7M vs prior-year profit

revenuegross marginnet incomeadjusted EBITDAcash flow

Risk Factors

  • Further demand deterioration in housing/renovation end markets
  • Escalation of tariff costs beyond current 5-6% of sales estimate
  • Failure to realize cost savings or timely close of American Woodmark merger
  • Debt covenant compliance if EBITDA continues to weaken

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered)
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001941365-26-000054
Document: q12026investorpresentati.htm0001941365-26-000054
Document: mbc-20260505.htm0001941365-26-000054
Document: 0001941365-26-000054-index-headers.html0001941365-26-000054
Document: 0001941365-26-000054-index.html0001941365-26-000054
Document: 0001941365-26-000054.txt0001941365-26-000054
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001941365-26-000054
15 reports for MBC
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +18.75%Jun 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.68awaiting T+20—$6.81 (+1.95%)
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.08awaiting T+20—$6.81 (−3.81%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.11 $7.35▲ +3.38%▲ +3.80%$6.81 (−4.22%)
Aug 9, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.06 $8.16▼ −9.93%▼ −9.02%$6.81 (−24.83%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.17 $8.81▼ −3.93%▼ −3.18%$6.81 (−25.74%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$8.88 $9.08▲ +2.25%▲ +0.47%$6.81 (−23.31%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$8.58 $9.44▲ +10.02%▲ +8.39%$6.81 (−20.63%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$8.32 $9.88▲ +18.75%▲ +20.12%$6.81 (−18.15%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.48 $9.98▲ +17.69%▲ +19.25%$6.81 (−19.69%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.48 $9.98▲ +17.69%▲ +19.25%$6.81 (−19.69%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 57m

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Report published May 5, 2026