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8-K ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

MAN

ManpowerGroup Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed11d 20h ago SEC0001193125-26-422291
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The GAAP miss is largely due to $0.30 in one-time charges, but the revenue miss and flat gross margin suggest underlying demand softness. Q4 guidance midpoint of $1.08 is slightly below consensus $1.09, indicating management expects only modest improvement. Watch for the CEO transition and whether the transformation program delivers the $200M cost savings target by 2028.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
MAN ▲ +6.54% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -6.54% · α vs SPY -7.55% · entry $43.74 → $46.60
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 -4.05% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.14%
call +5.14% · α +4.04%
$41.49
settled 11d ago
T+5d
+6.54%
call -6.54% · α -7.55%
$46.60
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ManpowerGroup reported Q3 2026 GAAP EPS of $0.71, well below the adjusted $1.01 consensus, and revenue of $4.84B missed the $4.93B estimate. Revenue grew 4.4% YoY but gross profit declined 0.2%, and the company guided Q4 EPS to $1.03-$1.13, implying a sequential improvement. The miss was driven by $0.30 in restructuring and transformation costs, but the underlying operational trends (Manpower brand strength, U.S. Experis returning to growth) were positive.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.01
est $1.01 · -5.9%
Revenue
$4.8B
est $4.9B · -1.8% · +4.4% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
Up 3-7% (constant currency)
maintained
Gross Margin
15.9%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 GAAP EPS $0.71 vs consensus $1.07 (miss of 33.6%)
  • Adjusted EPS $1.01, in line with consensus of $1.01
  • Revenue $4.84B vs consensus $4.93B (miss of 1.8%)
  • Revenue grew 4.4% YoY (5.2% constant currency), gross profit declined 0.2% YoY
  • Operating profit rose 23.7% YoY to $82.3M, driven by SG&A cost reductions
  • Q4 2026 guidance: EPS $1.03-$1.13 (midpoint $1.08 vs consensus $1.09)
  • CEO succession announced: Becky Frankiewicz to become CEO Jan 1, 2027

Financial Impact

GAAP EPS of $0.71 missed consensus by $0.36 (33.6%), revenue missed by ~$90M (1.8%)

epsrevenuegross marginoperating profit

Risk Factors

  • Revenue growth decelerating (8% in Q2 vs 4.4% in Q3)
  • Gross margin compression (-70 bps YoY) despite cost cuts
  • France revenue declining 3.5% YoY, a key market
  • CEO transition adds execution risk in 2027

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-422291
Document: man-20261015.htm0001193125-26-422291
Document: man-ex99_2.htm0001193125-26-422291
Document: 0001193125-26-422291-index-headers.html0001193125-26-422291
Document: 0001193125-26-422291-index.html0001193125-26-422291
Document: 0001193125-26-422291.txt0001193125-26-422291
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-422291
9 reports for MAN
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +15.87%Apr 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MAN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$43.74 $46.60▼ −6.54%▼ −7.55%$46.18 (−5.58%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$43.74 $46.60▲ +6.54%▲ +7.55%$46.18 (+5.58%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$56.28 $54.36▼ −3.41%▼ −4.71%$46.18 (−17.95%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$56.24 $59.48▲ +5.76%▲ +6.16%$46.18 (−17.89%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$56.60 $58.30▼ −3.00%▼ −2.61%$46.18 (+18.41%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$51.65 $49.95▲ +3.29%▲ +1.62%$46.18 (+10.59%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$34.00 $34.29▲ +0.85%▲ +0.42%$46.18 (+35.82%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$31.00 $29.26▲ +5.61%▲ +6.60%$46.18 (−48.97%)
Mar 23, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.87 $29.46▲ +5.71%▲ +6.13%$46.18 (+65.70%)
Showing 9 of 9

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Report published Oct 15, 2026