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8-K ·Filed Aug 25, 2026

MAIR

Madison Air Solutions Corp
MIXED
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-058764
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The massive equity raise (~$2.25B) to fund the ebm-papst acquisition is a transformative but dilutive event. Monitor the September 1 closing and any regulatory hurdles for the acquisition. The $24.97 placement price represents a discount to the current market price; watch for near-term selling pressure as institutional investors may hedge. The one-year lock-up on Gies' shares limits insider selling risk. The registration rights agreement timeline (90-120 days post-close) will determine when the institutional shares become freely tradable, creating potential overhang.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
MAIR ▼ -13.79% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -13.79% · α vs SPY -15.03% · entry $27.99 → $24.13
Next anchor: T+60d in 22d
Latest observation: T+42 +35.47% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.86%
call +1.86% · α +1.84%
$28.51
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-8.00%
call -8.00% · α -7.46%
$25.75
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-13.79%
call -13.79% · α -15.03%
$24.13
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 22d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Madison Air Solutions Corp entered into securities purchase agreements to raise approximately $2.25 billion in a private placement, issuing 90,108,130 shares of Class A common stock at $24.97 per share. The proceeds will fully fund the equity portion of the previously announced acquisition of ebm-papst Mulfingen GmbH & Co. KGaA & Co. KG and related entities. Chairman Larry Gies and an affiliated entity are purchasing $620 million of the offering, with the remaining $1.63 billion from institutional investors. The shares are unregistered but subject to a registration rights agreement, and Gies' shares are locked up for one year. This large dilutive equity raise to fund a transformative acquisition is a significant event, but the dilution is substantial and the deal carries execution risk, making the overall sentiment mixed.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
acquisition
Offering Size
$2.3B

Key Facts

  • Company raised ~$2.25B in gross proceeds via private placement of 90,108,130 shares at $24.97/share.
  • Chairman Larry Gies will purchase $300M of shares; Madison Solutions LLC (affiliated with Gies) will purchase $320M.
  • Proceeds will fully fund the equity portion of the acquisition of ebm-papst Mulfingen GmbH & Co. KGaA & Co. KG and related entities.
  • Institutional investors purchase ~78.1M shares for ~$1.95B; Gies purchases ~12.0M shares for $300M.
  • Shares are unregistered; registration rights agreement requires filing a resale registration statement within 90 days of closing (or up to 120 days if acquisition financials are delayed).
  • Gies and Madison Solutions shares subject to one-year lock-up from closing.
  • Closing expected on September 1, 2026, subject to customary conditions.
  • Placement agents are Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC and Barclays Capital Inc.

Financial Impact

~$2.25 billion gross proceeds from private placement; 90.1M new shares issued at $24.97/share

dilutionshare countcash

Risk Factors

  • Dilution of ~90M shares (significant percentage of outstanding) may pressure stock price.
  • Acquisition integration risk and potential failure to achieve expected synergies.
  • Regulatory approvals required for the acquisition (merger control, foreign investment, EU Foreign Subsidies Regulation) may delay or prevent closing.
  • Break fee payable if acquisition terminates; amount not disclosed.
  • Registration rights may lead to future selling pressure when institutional shares become tradable.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrial & Commercial Fans & Blowers & Air Purifing Equip
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-058764
Document: 0001628280-26-058764-index.html0001628280-26-058764
Document: 0001628280-26-058764.txt0001628280-26-058764
20 reports for MAIR
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +7.28%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MAIR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$23.08 $22.76▼ −1.39%▼ −0.86%$23.75 (+2.90%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.29 $24.08▲ +3.39%▲ +3.40%$23.75 (+1.98%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.33 $26.40▲ +0.27%▲ +0.56%$23.75 (−9.80%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$27.99 $28.51▲ +1.86%▲ +1.84%$23.75 (−15.15%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$29.57 $27.44▼ −7.20%▼ −6.53%$23.75 (−19.68%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$29.14 $29.06▼ −0.27%▼ −0.98%$23.75 (−18.50%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.13 $38.56▲ +1.13%▲ +1.44%$23.75 (−37.71%)
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.15 $37.44▼ −1.86%▼ −0.61%$23.75 (−37.75%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$40.14 $39.59▼ −1.37%▼ −1.60%$23.75 (−40.83%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$43.47 $43.86▲ +0.90%▲ +0.62%$23.75 (−45.36%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 36m)

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Report published Aug 25, 2026