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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 7, 2026

MAIA

MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 9h ago SEC9999999995-26-003161
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf is now live, so PoC Capital can sell shares at any time. Monitor for a Form 4 filing indicating the start of the resale, which would signal near-term selling pressure. The $1,000,000 funding commitment provides a modest cash buffer for clinical trial costs.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
MAIA ▼ -5.08% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.08% · α vs SPY +4.10% · entry $1.18 → $1.12
Next anchor: T+20d in 8d
Latest observation: T+12 -6.78% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.54%
call +2.54% · α +2.12%
$1.15
settled 19d ago
T+5d
-5.08%
call +5.08% · α +4.10%
$1.12
settled 13d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 8d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective MAIA Biotechnology's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-299148) on October 6, 2026. This allows the company to sell up to 751,879 shares of common stock held by PoC Capital LLC, received under a Clinical Trial Funding Agreement. The effectiveness introduces potential dilution overhang of ~1.2% of shares outstanding, but the company receives no proceeds from the resale.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: October 6, 2026
  • Shelf registration for 751,879 shares of common stock
  • Shares registered for resale by PoC Capital LLC
  • Company receives no proceeds from the resale
  • Shares were issued under a Clinical Trial Funding Agreement dated August 29, 2026
  • PoC Capital agreed to provide $1,000,000 in funding for clinical trial expenses

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of approximately 1.2% of shares outstanding; company receives no proceeds from the resale but secured $1,000,000 in clinical trial funding from PoC Capital.

dilutionshares outstanding

Risk Factors

  • Resale by PoC Capital could create downward pressure on the stock price
  • No proceeds to the company from the resale — dilution without capital benefit
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; cash runway dependent on continued funding

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003161
Document: 9999999995-26-003161-index.html9999999995-26-003161
Document: 9999999995-26-003161.txt9999999995-26-003161
17 reports for MAIA
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +16.94%Apr 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MAIA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.18awaiting T+60—$1.13 (+4.24%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.19awaiting T+60—$1.13 (−5.04%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.18awaiting T+60—$1.13 (+4.24%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.40awaiting T+60—$1.13 (−19.29%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.34awaiting T+60—$1.13 (−15.67%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.34awaiting T+60—$1.13 (−15.67%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.43 $1.38▼ −3.50%▼ −6.00%$1.13 (−20.98%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.35 $1.39▲ +2.96%▲ +1.85%$1.13 (−16.30%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.23 $1.34▲ +8.94%▲ +2.65%$1.13 (−8.13%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.26 $1.38▲ +9.52%▲ +5.01%$1.13 (−10.32%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published Oct 7, 2026