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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 12, 2026

MA

Mastercard Inc
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed15d 6h ago
Institutional cluster: 43 buyers, 41 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster shows a tug-of-war between large active value buyers (Eagle Capital) and several quant/asset manager sellers. Monitor Mastercard's next earnings for revenue growth and payment volume trends to see which side's thesis is validated.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
MA ▲ +3.58% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +3.58% · α vs SPY +5.07% · entry $595.09 → $616.40
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Latest observation: T+9 +3.94% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.63%
call +1.63% · α +1.64%
$604.80
settled 14d ago
T+5d
+3.58%
call +3.58% · α +5.07%
$616.40
settled 8d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 13d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in Mastercard during Q2 2026 was mixed: 43 buyers added $2.26B in net new holdings (led by Eagle Capital's $1.07B doubling and D.E. Shaw's $453M addition), while 41 sellers reduced positions by $1.32B (led by Canada Pension Plan's $530M trim and Polen Capital's $184M trim). The net buying of ~$940M suggests continued institutional conviction, but the large seller count signals caution at current valuations.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$3.9B
Sell Value
$2.5B
Net Flow
$940.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $940.0M

▲ Buyers (43)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Eagle CapitalDOUBLED+329.5%$1.4B$1.1B
D.E. ShawADD+74.9%$1.0B$453.0M
Point72DOUBLED+504.5%$238.3M$199.9M
Jane Street GroupDOUBLED+1778.1%$221.6M$210.2M
AltarockADD+46.2%$392.7M$131.4M

▼ Sellers (41)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Canada Pension Plan Investment BoardTRIM-29.2%$1.9B-$529.8M
Polen Capital ManagementTRIM-25.9%$770.2M-$183.7M
Bank Julius Baer & Co. Ltd, ZurichTRIM-31.4%$609.9M-$179.1M
Ninety One UkTRIM-30.2%$533.5M-$150.7M
RenTechEXIT-100%$97.3M-$97.3M

Key Facts

  • 43 institutional buyers added $2.26B in net new holdings vs 41 sellers reducing by $1.32B
  • Eagle Capital doubled its stake (+329.5%) to $1.38B, the largest buyer
  • D.E. Shaw added 74.9% to its position, now worth $1.02B
  • Jane Street Group increased holdings by 1,778% to $221.6M
  • Canada Pension Plan Investment Board trimmed 29.2% ($530M exit value)
  • Polen Capital Management trimmed 25.9% ($184M reduction)
  • Lone Pine and RenTech both fully exited their positions

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of approximately $940M in Q2 2026, with total buyer holdings of $3.85B vs seller holdings of $2.53B

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Large seller count (41) with several full exits suggests some institutions see limited upside
  • Passive/index fund activity may inflate buyer count without signaling conviction

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MA-2026-Q2
18 reports for MA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +9.74%Jul 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$619.17awaiting T+60——
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$617.42awaiting T+60——
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$595.09awaiting T+60——
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$595.09awaiting T+60——
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$578.33awaiting T+60——
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$580.63awaiting T+60——
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$562.95awaiting T+60——
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$575.95awaiting T+60——
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$577.35 $623.60▲ +8.01%▲ +5.55%—
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$551.54 $589.14▲ +6.82%▲ +3.11%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 57m

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Report published Oct 12, 2026