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8-K ·Filed Sep 9, 2026

LXU

LSB INDUSTRIES, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-385906
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine investor presentation with no new material facts beyond prior disclosures. Monitor for Class VI permit approval on the CCS project and quarterly results for evidence of EBITDA run-rate realization.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
LXU ▼ -12.82% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -12.82% · α vs SPY -14.76% · entry $11.70 → $10.20
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+32 -18.45% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.60%
call -0.60% · α +0.00%
$11.63
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-5.47%
call -5.47% · α -4.37%
$11.06
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-12.82%
call -12.82% · α -14.76%
$10.20
settled 19d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

LSB Industries furnished an investor presentation highlighting strong financial performance (Q2'26 TTM net sales +22%, Adjusted EBITDA +63% YoY), low net leverage (1.1x), and the El Dorado CCS project expected to start in Q1'27. The presentation reiterates management's ~$60M+ annual EBITDA opportunity estimates but does not contain new material financial disclosures beyond previously reported results.

Key Facts

  • Q2'26 TTM net sales $658M (+22% vs Q2'25 TTM), Adjusted EBITDA $199M (+63%), margin 30% (+760 bps).
  • Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA at 1.1x as of June 30, 2026; cash and short-term investments of $218M.
  • El Dorado CCS project expected to begin operations in Q1'27, generate $25M-$30M annual EBITDA after full ramp, with total estimated completion capital of ~$95M.
  • Management estimates $35M+ annual EBITDA from operational self-help, $25-$30M from CCS, and $20-$60M+ from brownfield expansions.

Financial Impact

No new financial guidance or material changes; existing strong operating metrics and low leverage reiterated.

Risk Factors

  • CCS project execution and Class VI permit timing uncertain; capital costs may exceed $95M estimate.
  • Global nitrogen prices and natural gas costs remain volatile, affecting earnings visibility.
  • Forward-looking EBITDA estimates are aspirational and not guaranteed in any specific fiscal year.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-385906
Document: lxu-ex99_1.htm0001193125-26-385906
Document: 0001193125-26-385906-index-headers.html0001193125-26-385906
Document: 0001193125-26-385906-index.html0001193125-26-385906
Document: 0001193125-26-385906.txt0001193125-26-385906
13 reports for LXU
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +46.27%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LXU — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.70 $10.20▼ −12.82%▼ −14.76%$10.15 (−13.25%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.06 $10.64▼ −18.53%▼ −16.96%$10.15 (−22.28%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.04 $11.13▼ −14.69%▼ −13.27%$10.15 (−22.16%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.04 $11.13▼ −14.69%▼ −13.27%$10.15 (−22.16%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$14.50 $11.93▼ −17.72%▼ −19.84%$10.15 (−30.00%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.50 $11.93▼ −17.72%▼ −19.84%$10.15 (−30.00%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.85 $13.36▼ −10.03%▼ −15.50%$10.15 (−31.65%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.15 $15.44▲ +9.12%▲ +3.07%$10.15 (−28.27%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.76 $15.30▲ +3.66%▼ −4.89%$10.15 (−31.23%)
Apr 3, 2026
29w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.00 $14.37▼ −4.20%▼ −13.18%$10.15 (−32.33%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 38m)

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Report published Sep 9, 2026