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8-K ·Filed May 29, 2026

LSTA

LISATA THERAPEUTICS, INC.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001140361-26-023336
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The lower upfront cash is a clear negative for near-term value, but the increased CVR upside creates a binary catalyst tied to the Phase 2a GBM trial. Monitor enrollment updates for LSTA1-GBM-2A closely — the First Milestone ($1.25/share) could trigger by December 15, 2026 if enrollment completes. The non-tradeable CVRs mean holders must retain shares through closing to participate.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
LSTA ▼ -51.40% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -51.40% · α vs SPY -52.63% · entry $3.58 → $1.74
Entry = T+0 close
May 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.79%
call -2.79% · α -2.94%
$3.48
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.42%
call -6.42% · α -3.67%
$3.35
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-5.03%
call -5.03% · α -3.73%
$3.40
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-51.40%
call -51.40% · α -52.63%
$1.74
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Lisata Therapeutics amended its merger agreement with Kuva Labs, reducing the upfront cash consideration from $5.00 to $4.00 per share but increasing the maximum contingent value right (CVR) payout from $1.00 to $3.00 per share, split into a $1.25 milestone upon enrollment/completion of a Phase 2a GBM trial and a $1.75 milestone upon an NDA filing. The tender offer is set to commence June 1, 2026, with the outside date extended to July 6, 2026. This is a renegotiation that lowers guaranteed cash but offers higher potential upside tied to clinical and regulatory milestones.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Upfront cash consideration reduced from $5.00 to $4.00 per share (a 20% decrease)
  • Maximum CVR payout increased from $1.00 to $3.00 per share ($1.25 First Milestone + $1.75 Second Milestone)
  • First Milestone: enrollment completion, 90% enrollment, or termination of Phase 2a GBM trial (LSTA1-GBM-2A)
  • Second Milestone: filing/acceptance of an NDA for certepetide (formerly LSTA1/CEND-1)
  • CVRs are non-tradeable and expire on the 7th anniversary of closing
  • Tender offer to commence June 1, 2026; outside date extended to July 6, 2026
  • Interest accrues at the lesser of 10% p.a. or SOFR+5% on late First Milestone payments

Financial Impact

Guaranteed cash per share reduced by $1.00 (20% decrease), offset by up to $2.00 additional contingent consideration per share. Total maximum consideration per share is $7.00 ($4.00 cash + $3.00 CVRs) vs. $6.00 previously ($5.00 cash + $1.00 CVR).

offer price per sharecontingent consideration

Risk Factors

  • Phase 2a GBM trial may fail to enroll or be terminated without milestone achievement
  • CVRs are non-tradeable and expire worthless if milestones are not met within 7 years
  • Kuva Labs may not complete the tender offer or merger despite the amendment
  • Regulatory approval for certepetide is uncertain and years away

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-023336
Document: ef20075162_8k.htm0001140361-26-023336
Document: ef20075162_ex2-1.htm0001140361-26-023336
Document: 0001140361-26-023336-index-headers.html0001140361-26-023336
Document: 0001140361-26-023336-index.html0001140361-26-023336
Document: 0001140361-26-023336.txt0001140361-26-023336
13 reports for LSTA
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +54.62%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LSTA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.00awaiting T+60—$1.06 (−6.00%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.07awaiting T+60—$1.06 (−0.93%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.74awaiting T+60—$1.06 (−39.08%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.74awaiting T+60—$1.06 (−39.08%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.14awaiting T+60—$1.06 (+7.02%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.67 $1.00▲ +40.12%▲ +43.41%$1.06 (+36.53%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.60 $1.05▼ −70.79%▼ −75.48%$1.06 (−70.51%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.61 $1.64▼ −54.57%▼ −61.15%$1.06 (−70.64%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.46 $1.57▲ +54.62%▲ +58.44%$1.06 (+69.36%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.58 $1.74▲ +51.40%▲ +52.63%$1.06 (+70.39%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 23m

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Report published May 29, 2026