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8-K ·Filed Jun 16, 2026

LPRO

Open Lending Corp
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-271902
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

LPRO stock should trade toward the $3.15 offer price, with the spread reflecting deal risk (HSR timing, competing bids, litigation). The tender offer must commence within 10 business days of the announcement. Monitor for HSR filing, any competing superior proposals during the go-shop period, and the Schedule 14D-9 filing for the board's formal recommendation. The 12.8% locked-up support from insiders makes failure of the minimum tender condition unlikely.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
LPRO ▲ +0.96% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.96% · α vs SPY +0.76% · entry $3.11 → $3.14
Next anchor: T+60d due 7w ago
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.16%
call -0.16% · α +1.09%
$3.11
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.32%
call +0.32% · α +2.55%
$3.12
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+0.96%
call +0.96% · α +0.76%
$3.14
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
Pending
due 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Open Lending Corp (LPRO) has entered into a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by ANV Group Holdings Ltd. for $3.15 per share in cash via a tender offer and second-step merger. The all-cash consideration represents a ~78% premium to LPRO's 90-day VWAP and values the company at approximately $373M. The transaction has unanimous board approval and support from stockholders representing ~12.8% of outstanding shares, including CEO Jessica Buss. The deal is expected to close in Q3 2026, subject to HSR clearance, majority tender, and other customary conditions, with no financing condition.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$372.7M
Premium
78%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • ANV Group to acquire Open Lending for $3.15/share in all-cash tender offer
  • 78% premium to LPRO's 90-day volume-weighted average price as of June 15, 2026
  • Transaction valued at approximately $373M based on 118.3M shares outstanding
  • Board unanimously approved; CEO and major stockholders (~12.8% of shares) signed tender and support agreements
  • Expected to close in Q3 2026; outside date is October 15, 2026 (auto-extends to December 15, 2026 if HSR is sole remaining condition)
  • Financing: $100M equity commitment + $250M debt commitment; no financing condition
  • Termination fee of $13.58M payable by Company under certain circumstances

Financial Impact

78% premium to 90-day VWAP; all-cash consideration of $3.15/share values equity at ~$373M

stock pricemarket capitalizationshare count

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory delay or denial under HSR Act
  • Failure to achieve majority tender condition (mitigated by 12.8% locked-up shares)
  • Competing superior proposal triggering termination fee and deal breakup
  • Shareholder litigation challenging the transaction or seeking appraisal
  • Delay beyond outside date (October 15, 2026) if conditions not satisfied

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Personal Credit Institutions
Analyst Consensus
62% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-271902
Document: d147981dex101.htm0001193125-26-271902
Document: d147981d8k.htm0001193125-26-271902
Document: d147981dex991.htm0001193125-26-271902
Document: 0001193125-26-271902-index-headers.html0001193125-26-271902
Document: 0001193125-26-271902-index.html0001193125-26-271902
Document: 0001193125-26-271902.txt0001193125-26-271902
8 reports for LPRO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for LPRO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
15-12G
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$3.14awaiting T+20——
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.14awaiting T+20——
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.11 $3.14▲ +0.96%▲ +0.76%—
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.12 $3.13▲ +47.64%▲ +44.02%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.90 $2.11▼ −11.05%▼ −11.03%—
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.67 $1.80▲ +7.78%▲ +3.15%—
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.71 $1.77▲ +3.51%▼ −1.41%—
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$1.45 $1.54▲ +6.21%▲ +2.62%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 3m

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Report published Jun 16, 2026