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6-K ·Filed Sep 4, 2026

LND

BrasilAgro - Brazilian Agricultural Real Estate Co
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001213900-26-097431
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The 63% drop in total adjusted EBITDA and swing to net loss are negative, but the 11% growth in operational EBITDA shows underlying farming improvement. The 26/27 harvest guidance of 6% production growth is modestly positive, but El Niño risk is real. Net debt/EBITDA of 2.82x is elevated vs 0x last year, signaling higher leverage. Monitor commodity prices, weather, and ability to execute farm sales to reduce debt. The portfolio revaluation (+8.2%) supports NAV but requires monetization.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
LND ▼ -2.37% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -2.37% · α vs SPY -2.98% · entry $3.79 → $3.70
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 -6.53% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.53%
call +0.53% · α +1.08%
$3.81
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-4.75%
call -4.75% · α -3.54%
$3.61
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-2.37%
call -2.37% · α -2.98%
$3.70
settled 22d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BrasilAgro reported FY2026 (June 30) results with a net loss of R$90.0 million, swinging from a R$138.0 million profit in FY2025, driven by a 98% decline in farm sales revenue and higher debt costs. However, core agricultural operations improved: adjusted EBITDA from operations rose 11% to R$97.3 million on 2% higher crop revenue. The company also released initial 2026/2027 harvest estimates with a 1% area reduction and 6% production growth, but flagged El Niño risks. The portfolio market value increased 8.2% to R$3.34 billion.

Key Facts

  • FY2026 net loss of R$90.0 million vs profit of R$138.0 million in FY2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA from operations rose 11% to R$97.3 million
  • Farm sales revenue plunged 98% to R$4.1 million from R$241.3 million
  • Net debt increased 13% to R$821.1 million; adjusted net debt turned positive at R$280.5 million
  • Dividend proposed at R$0.3012 per share, down from R$1.56 last year
  • 2026/2027 harvest area estimated at 165,208 hectares (-1% YoY); production estimated at 452,900 tons (+6%)
  • Portfolio market value rose 8.2% to R$3.34 billion; NAV per share (ex-treasury) R$38.17
  • Soybean gross margin improved to 20% (from 17%); corn to 21% (from 1%)
  • Adjusted net debt/EBITDA at 2.82x vs -0.12x last year due to lower EBITDA and higher debt

Financial Impact

Net loss of R$90.0 million, down from R$138.0 million profit. Core ops EBITDA up 11%. Portfolio appreciation R$252.2 million, with R$143.2 million same-land gain.

net incomeadjusted EBITDAfarm sales revenuenet debtNAV

Risk Factors

  • El Niño weather impact on 2026/2027 harvest
  • Elevated debt levels and rising interest costs (CDI 14.72%)
  • Low farm sales activity vs prior year
  • Commodity price and BRL volatility
  • Dependence on real estate sales for consolidated profitability

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Agricultural Production-Crops
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (LND) — Batch item 10001213900-26-097431
Document: 0001213900-26-097431-index-headers.html0001213900-26-097429
Document: 0001213900-26-097431-index.html0001213900-26-097431
Document: 0001213900-26-097431.txt0001213900-26-097429
6-K Filing (LND) — Batch item 50001213900-26-097429
6-K Filing (LND) — Batch item 60001213900-26-097431
6-K Filing (LND) — Batch item 70001213900-26-097429
6 reports for LND
Performance horizon

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TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.60awaiting T+5—$3.21 (−10.83%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.60awaiting T+5—$3.21 (−10.83%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.41 $3.73▲ +9.22%▲ +7.31%$3.21 (−5.98%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.61 $3.51▲ +2.77%▲ +1.75%$3.21 (+11.08%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.61 $3.51▼ −2.77%▼ −1.75%$3.21 (−11.08%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.79 $3.61▼ −4.75%▼ −3.54%$3.21 (−15.30%)
Showing 6 of 6

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Report published Sep 4, 2026