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EFFECT ·Filed Sep 16, 2026

LIDR

AEye, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002966
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effective shelf creates a persistent overhang on LIDR shares. Monitor for any 424B prospectus supplement filing indicating a takedown, which would trigger immediate dilution. The company's cash runway into 2028 suggests no imminent need to tap the shelf, but the overhang will likely cap upside.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
LIDR ▼ -24.08% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.08% · α vs SPY +27.26% · entry $1.18 → $0.8958
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+27 +11.69% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.54%
call -2.54% · α -1.41%
$1.21
settled 6w ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +2.56%
$1.18
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-24.08%
call +24.08% · α +27.26%
$0.8958
settled 14d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AEye's $200M universal shelf registration (S-3) became effective on September 15, 2026. This allows the company to sell common stock, preferred stock, debt, warrants, rights, or units at any time, creating a persistent dilution overhang. With a market cap of just $56M and cash burn of $9.2M in Q1 2026, any future takedown from this shelf could be highly dilutive to existing shareholders.

Key Facts

  • AEye's $200M universal shelf registration (S-3) became effective on September 15, 2026.
  • The shelf allows future sales of common stock, preferred stock, debt, warrants, rights, or units.
  • AEye had $77.2M in cash and marketable securities as of March 31, 2026, with a Q1 2026 cash burn of $9.2M.
  • The company's market cap is approximately $56M, meaning any shelf takedown could be highly dilutive.
  • The shelf was filed 120 days prior to effectiveness, on May 19, 2026.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from any future offering under the $200M shelf could be severe given the company's $56M market cap. The shelf is 3.6x the current market cap.

dilutionshare countcash runway

Risk Factors

  • Any future offering under the shelf could be highly dilutive to existing shareholders.
  • The shelf overhang may suppress the stock price as the market prices in potential dilution.
  • Despite cash runway into 2028, adverse business conditions could force an earlier-than-expected shelf takedown.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002966
Document: 9999999995-26-002966-index.html9999999995-26-002966
Document: 9999999995-26-002966.txt9999999995-26-002966
6 reports for LIDR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for LIDR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.8550awaiting T+20—$1.04 (+21.64%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$1.22 $0.8990▼ −26.31%▼ −25.75%$1.04 (−14.75%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.18 $0.8958▲ +24.08%▲ +27.26%$1.04 (+11.86%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.47 $1.20▼ −18.33%▼ −19.51%$1.04 (−29.25%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.31 $1.23▼ −6.11%▼ −4.12%$1.04 (−20.61%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.62 $1.36▼ −16.05%▼ −17.94%$1.04 (−35.80%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 10m)

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Report published Sep 16, 2026