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8-K ·Filed Jul 2, 2026

LEU

CENTRUS ENERGY CORP
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001628280-26-046801
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The $900M DOE contract validates Centrus as the sole domestic HALEU producer and provides a clear path to commercial-scale enrichment. Monitor for lease extension agreements with DOE and progress on the $2.4B LEU backlog conversion. The cross-filing executive departure 14 days prior suggests management transition risk — watch for further C-suite changes that could delay the 2029 capacity timeline.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
LEU ▼ -9.13% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.13% · α vs SPY -12.14% · entry $162.13 → $147.32
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+7.46%
call +7.46% · α +6.59%
$174.23
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+7.05%
call +7.05% · α +6.12%
$173.56
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+9.02%
call +9.02% · α +9.43%
$176.75
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-9.13%
call -9.13% · α -12.14%
$147.32
settled 28d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Centrus Energy signed a $900 million fixed-price contract with the U.S. Department of Energy to deploy commercial-scale HALEU enrichment capacity at its Piketon, Ohio facility, with delivery of 1 MTU by March 2032. The contract includes options for up to $170 million in additional HALEU purchases, bringing total potential value to $1.07 billion. This marks a transition from a demonstration contract to commercial-scale production, with first new capacity expected online by 2029.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$900.0M

Key Facts

  • Signed $900 million fixed-price contract with DOE to deploy commercial-scale HALEU enrichment capacity at Piketon, Ohio
  • Contract requires delivery of 1 MTU of HALEU UF6 by March 2032, with ACO obtaining title to deployed capacity upon completion
  • Includes options for up to $170 million in additional HALEU purchases ($85M per 5 MTU at $17M/MTU), total potential value $1.07 billion
  • Completed final 900 kg of HALEU UF6 under prior demonstration contract two weeks ahead of schedule, cumulative >1,900 kg produced
  • First new capacity expected online by 2029; company intends to privately operate existing HALEU cascade commercially in interim
  • Existing LEU backlog of $2.4 billion; initial build-out includes 12 MT annual HALEU capacity plus LEU capacity
  • Cross-filing context: executive departure 14 days prior (June 18 8-K) suggests forced management transition alongside this contract

Financial Impact

$900 million firm fixed-price contract with up to $170 million in options ($1.07 billion total potential value); existing LEU backlog of $2.4 billion

revenuebacklogcapital expenditure

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on deploying commercial-scale enrichment capacity by 2029
  • Dependence on DOE for lease extension and option exercises
  • Management transition risk from recent executive departure 14 days prior
  • Capital requirements for multi-billion-dollar expansion may require dilutive financing

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-046801
Exhibit: ex991_haleu900mpr.htm0001628280-26-046801
Document: 0001628280-26-046801-index-headers.html0001628280-26-046801
Document: 0001628280-26-046801-index.html0001628280-26-046801
Document: 0001628280-26-046801.txt0001628280-26-046801
14 reports for LEU
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +14.34%Sep 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LEU — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$110.12awaiting T+5—$98.52 (−10.53%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$110.12awaiting T+5—$98.52 (−10.53%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$152.31 $145.23▲ +4.65%▲ +4.43%$98.52 (+35.32%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$165.87 $149.85▲ +9.66%▲ +9.16%$98.52 (+40.60%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$181.49 $139.01▼ −23.41%▼ −22.75%$98.52 (−45.72%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$183.68 $187.63▲ +2.15%▲ +2.54%$98.52 (−46.36%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$178.03 $191.82▲ +7.75%▲ +6.53%$98.52 (−44.66%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$162.13 $173.56▲ +7.05%▲ +6.12%$98.52 (−39.23%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$162.13 $171.05▲ +5.50%▲ +4.14%$98.52 (−39.23%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$183.68 $165.52▼ −9.89%▼ −7.82%$98.52 (−46.36%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Jul 2, 2026