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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 12, 2026

LAR

Lithium Argentina AG
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The EPS miss vs consensus is overshadowed by the massive operational turnaround at Cauchari-Olaroz, with production at capacity and costs falling sharply. Watch for RIGI approval in Q2 2026 and the Stage 2 scoping study by mid-2026, which could unlock significant growth. The $130M debt facility and $97M cash position provide ample liquidity. The ASX listing plan may broaden the investor base.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
LAR ▼ -42.29% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -42.29% · α vs SPY -46.68% · entry $11.42 → $6.59
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.34%
call -5.34% · α -5.92%
$10.81
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-17.78%
call -17.78% · α -17.85%
$9.39
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-29.07%
call -29.07% · α -27.34%
$8.10
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-42.29%
call -42.29% · α -46.68%
$6.59
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Lithium Argentina reported Q1 2026 net income of $7.5M (EPS $0.05), swinging from a $7.2M loss in Q1 2025, driven by a $22.1M share of income from Cauchari-Olaroz. The operation produced 9,660 tonnes at cash costs of $5,391/t, with adjusted EBITDA surging to $105.8M (100% Exar basis). The company also secured a $130M debt facility from Ganfeng and is advancing a Stage 2 expansion, positioning it for growth without shareholder dilution.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.05
est $0.13 · -61.5%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net income of $7.5M vs net loss of $7.2M in Q1 2025
  • EPS of $0.05 vs consensus estimate of $0.13 (miss of -98.4%)
  • Cauchari-Olaroz produced 9,660 tonnes at 97% of design capacity
  • Cash operating costs of $5,391/tonne, down from $6,634/tonne in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA (100% Exar basis) of $105.8M, up from $8.9M in Q1 2025
  • Revenue of $168M at average realized price of ~$16,818/tonne
  • Cash and equivalents of $97.4M, up from $61.1M at year-end 2025
  • Completed $130M debt facility from Ganfeng with 6-year term at SOFR+2.5%
  • Stage 2 expansion targeting +45,000 tpa LCE; RIGI approval expected Q2 2026
  • PPG project advancing with 150,000 tpa LCE target across three phases

Financial Impact

Net income swing of +$14.7M YoY; adjusted EBITDA of $105.8M vs $8.9M; $130M debt facility secured

net incomeepsadjusted ebitdacash positionproduction costs

Risk Factors

  • EPS miss of -98.4% vs consensus may pressure the stock in the near term
  • Dependence on lithium carbonate prices, which remain volatile
  • Stage 2 expansion and PPG project subject to permitting, financing, and execution risks
  • Argentina political and economic risks, including currency controls and inflation
  • Derivative fair value fluctuations from Exar's USD-denominated loans in Argentine pesos

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3292630
9 reports for LAR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +51.52%Mar 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.56awaiting T+5—$4.57 (+0.22%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.65 $6.16▲ +7.37%▲ +6.96%$4.57 (+31.28%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$6.65 $6.16▼ −7.37%▼ −6.96%$4.57 (−31.28%)
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.33 $6.46▼ −11.87%▼ −11.31%$4.57 (−37.65%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.19 $9.54▼ −6.38%▼ −5.66%$4.57 (−55.15%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$11.42 $9.39▼ −17.78%▼ −17.85%$4.57 (−59.98%)
May 12, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.42 $9.39▼ −17.78%▼ −17.85%$4.57 (−59.98%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$9.31awaiting T+5—$4.57 (−50.91%)
Mar 23, 2026
31w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.27 $6.63▲ +5.74%▲ +9.31%$4.57 (−27.11%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 47m

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Report published May 12, 2026