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EFFECT ·Filed Apr 3, 2026

KYTX

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001072
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor for any near-term share sales under this shelf, particularly through the ATM program, which could pressure the stock. Given the high dilution risk relative to market cap, any announcement of funding activity is likely to be negatively received by the market.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KYTX ▼ -6.01% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.01% · α vs SPY +19.48% · entry $8.98 → $8.44
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.90%
call -3.90% · α -3.84%
$9.33
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+5.68%
call -5.68% · α -1.54%
$9.49
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+0.22%
call -0.22% · α +8.76%
$9.00
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-6.01%
call +6.01% · α +19.48%
$8.44
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kyverna Therapeutics' S-3 shelf registration has become effective, allowing the company to raise up to $300 million through various offerings, including a $100 million ATM with Jefferies. This creates a potential overhang of significant dilution for existing shareholders given the current $536 million market cap.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration effective as of April 2, 2026, permitting Kyverna to raise up to $300 million in capital.
  • Up to $100 million may be raised via an ATM offering with Jefferies.
  • Proceeds will fund general corporate purposes, including R&D for miv-cel, a CAR-T therapy in development for autoimmune diseases.
  • Current market cap is $536 million, meaning the offering could dilute existing shareholders by up to 56% if fully utilized.
  • No securities have been issued yet; the effectiveness allows for offerings to occur at management's discretion.

Financial Impact

Up to $300 million in potential dilution, representing approximately 56% of current market cap.

equity dilutionshare countearnings per share

Risk Factors

  • Significant equity dilution if the company draws down on the shelf, especially through the ATM.
  • Downward pressure on share price if offerings are priced at a discount or executed in weak market conditions.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001072
Document: 9999999995-26-001072-index.html9999999995-26-001072
Document: 9999999995-26-001072.txt9999999995-26-001072
17 reports for KYTX
Performance horizon
38% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +10.86%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KYTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.83 $6.04▲ +3.60%▲ +3.27%$5.27 (−9.61%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.99 $6.81▼ −2.58%▼ −3.12%$5.27 (−24.61%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.05 $8.08▲ +0.37%▼ −0.33%$5.27 (−34.53%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$8.05 $8.08▲ +0.37%▼ −0.33%$5.27 (−34.53%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.92 $7.49▼ −5.43%▼ −5.67%$5.27 (−33.46%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.81 $8.49▼ −13.51%▼ −13.94%$5.27 (−46.28%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.06 $8.15▼ −1.18%▲ +0.58%$5.27 (+34.57%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.00 $9.21▲ +2.33%▲ +1.54%$5.27 (−41.44%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.23 $8.95▼ −12.51%▼ −12.12%$5.27 (−48.48%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$11.25 $9.71▼ −13.69%▼ −13.04%$5.27 (−53.16%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 48m

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Report published Apr 3, 2026