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Institutional Cluster

KSPI

Joint Stock Co Kaspi.kz
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The BlackRock trim is large in absolute terms but may reflect index rebalancing or sector rotation rather than a fundamental thesis break. The active buyers (Dodge & Cox doubling, D.E. Shaw adding) provide a bullish counter-signal. Monitor next 13F for whether the selling accelerates or stabilizes.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KSPI ▲ +30.61% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +30.61% · α vs SPY +26.21% · entry $82.33 → $107.53
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.15%
call -2.15% · α -2.69%
$80.56
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.14%
call +1.14% · α +0.71%
$83.27
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+7.62%
call +7.62% · α +5.72%
$88.60
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+30.61%
call +30.61% · α +26.21%
$107.53
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

KSPI saw a mixed institutional cluster in Q3 2025: three buyers (D.E. Shaw, Morgan Stanley, Dodge & Cox) added $6.8M in net new holdings, while three sellers (BlackRock, Citadel, Cullen Capital) reduced by $60.2M. The selling is dominated by BlackRock's massive $56M trim, which overwhelms the buying in absolute dollar terms, but the buyer-side conviction (Dodge & Cox doubling, D.E. Shaw adding +91%) suggests selective active interest.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$19.3M
Sell Value
$127.9M
Net Flow
-$53.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$53.3M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
D.E. ShawADD+90.7%$2.1M$945.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+53%$15.8M$5.1M
Dodge & CoxDOUBLED+127.8%$1.5M$792.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BlackRockTRIM-41.6%$127.9M-$56.0M
CitadelNEAR_EXIT-75.3%$2.4M-$1.8M
Cullen CapitalNEAR_EXIT-85.4%$2.7M-$2.3M

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $6.8M net; 3 sellers reduced by $60.2M net
  • BlackRock trimmed 41.6% of its position, selling $56M worth of shares
  • Dodge & Cox doubled its stake (+127.8%), a high-conviction active value signal
  • D.E. Shaw added +90.7% shares; Citadel and Cullen Capital near-exited
  • Net institutional flow was heavily negative (-$53.3M) due to BlackRock's large trim

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $53.3M, with total buying of $6.8M and total selling of $60.2M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • BlackRock's $56M trim could signal broader institutional de-risking
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Net selling outweighs buying 9:1 in dollar terms

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-KSPI-2025-Q3
22 reports for KSPI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +13.55%Jun 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KSPI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.15awaiting T+60——
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$105.01awaiting T+60——
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.46awaiting T+60——
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$103.70awaiting T+60——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$99.55awaiting T+60——
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60——
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60——
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$85.80 $97.43▲ +13.55%▲ +10.72%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%—
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 36m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026