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6-K ·Filed May 14, 2026

KSPI

Joint Stock Co Kaspi.kz
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001985487-26-000020
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The revenue beat is offset by margin compression and rising NPLs, creating a mixed picture. Monitor the Q2 2026 earnings for signs of cost control and NPL stabilization. The USD 600M debt issuance and proposed dividend signal confidence, but the declining net income warrants caution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
KSPI ▲ +6.12% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +6.12% · α vs SPY +2.53% · entry $88.58 → $94.00
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.21%
call -1.21% · α +0.02%
$87.51
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+2.73%
call +2.73% · α +3.45%
$91.00
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-9.05%
call -9.05% · α -8.20%
$80.56
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+6.12%
call +6.12% · α +2.53%
$94.00
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kaspi.kz reported Q1 2026 revenue of KZT 1,080,630 million, up 31.5% YoY from KZT 821,851 million, driven by Marketplace (+48.8%) and Fintech (+25.3%) segments. However, net income attributable to shareholders declined 1.1% to KZT 249,394 million from KZT 252,056 million, as costs and operating expenses grew 47.4% to KZT 758,329 million, outpacing revenue growth. The company also announced a proposed Q1 2026 dividend of KZT 850 per share and completed a USD 600 million debt issuance in April 2026.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue of KZT 1,080,630 million, up 31.5% YoY from KZT 821,851 million
  • Net income attributable to shareholders declined 1.1% to KZT 249,394 million from KZT 252,056 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 9.0% to KZT 367,859 million from KZT 337,566 million
  • Marketplace segment revenue surged 48.8% to KZT 519,860 million, driven by Hepsiburada acquisition
  • Fintech segment revenue grew 25.3% to KZT 429,553 million, with interest revenue up 40.6%
  • Costs and operating expenses rose 47.4% to KZT 758,329 million, outpacing revenue growth
  • Gross NPLs increased to KZT 503,031 million from KZT 466,845 million; allowance coverage declined to 78% from 80%
  • Company completed USD 600 million debt issuance at 5.9% maturing 2031 in April 2026
  • Proposed Q1 2026 dividend of KZT 850 per share, subject to shareholder approval
  • Share buy-back program repurchased 737,578 ADSs for KZT 28,368 million in Q1 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue up 31.5% YoY to KZT 1,080,630 million, but net income down 1.1% to KZT 249,394 million. Costs grew 47.4% to KZT 758,329 million, with interest expenses up 46.4% and cost of goods up 55.6%.

revenuenet incomecostsNPLsadjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Cost growth outpacing revenue growth, compressing margins
  • Rising NPLs (KZT 503,031 million) with declining allowance coverage (78%)
  • Integration and profitability of Hepsiburada acquisition in Türkiye
  • Currency risk from KZT depreciation and Turkish lira exposure
  • Regulatory risk in Kazakhstan's financial sector

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001985487-26-000020
Document: kaspi.kz_form_6-k_may_14.htm0001985487-26-000020
Document: 0001985487-26-000020-index-headers.html0001985487-26-000020
Document: 0001985487-26-000020-index.html0001985487-26-000020
Document: 0001985487-26-000020.txt0001985487-26-000020
22 reports for KSPI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +13.55%Jun 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KSPI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.15awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−5.57%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$105.01awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−12.64%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.46awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−13.83%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$103.70awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−11.53%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$99.55awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−7.85%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−2.40%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60—$91.74 (−2.40%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$85.80 $97.43▲ +13.55%▲ +10.72%$91.74 (+6.92%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%$91.74 (+13.88%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%$91.74 (+13.88%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 37m)

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Report published May 14, 2026