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6-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

KSPI

Joint Stock Co Kaspi.kz
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001985487-26-000024
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor margin trajectory in 2H 2026 as the 100bps deposit rate cut in August should benefit earnings. Turkey expansion (Hepsi Bank) and AI assistant Kasper are long-term catalysts but not yet material to financials. The flat net income and reiterated guidance suggest limited near-term upside surprise.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
KSPI ▲ +14.05% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +14.05% · α vs SPY +14.97% · entry $94.00 → $107.21
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+53 +2.53% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.45%
call +1.45% · α +1.77%
$95.36
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+5.37%
call +5.37% · α +5.42%
$99.05
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+14.05%
call +14.05% · α +14.97%
$107.21
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kaspi.kz reported 2Q 2026 revenue growth of 15% YoY to KZT1.1 trillion ($2.3B), but net income was flat at KZT259 billion ($539M) due to higher funding costs and Turkey investments. The Board proposed an 18% dividend increase to KZT1,000 per ADS, and full-year guidance was reiterated. The AI assistant Kasper launched in July with early adoption, and the Turkey banking acquisition (Hepsi Bank) was completed.

Key Facts

  • Total revenue increased 15% YoY to KZT1.1 trillion ($2.3B)
  • Net income stable at KZT259 billion ($539M)
  • Adjusted EBITDA +5% YoY to KZT397 billion ($826M)
  • Quarterly dividend proposed at KZT1,000 per ADS, up 18% from KZT850
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reiterated
  • e-Commerce constant-currency GMV +28% YoY to KZT1.3 trillion ($2.6B)
  • Fintech revenue +23% YoY to KZT455 billion ($946M)
  • Acquisition of Rabobank A.Ş. in Turkey completed and rebranded as Hepsi Bank
  • AI assistant Kasper launched in July; ~20% of available consumers used it in first month

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 15% YoY but net income flat; EBITDA margin compressed by higher funding costs and Turkey investments. Dividend increase signals confidence.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAdividend per ADS

Risk Factors

  • Higher deposit funding costs compressing net income margin
  • Execution risk and investment drag from Turkey operations
  • Turkish Lira depreciation vs Kazakhstan Tenge (21% YoY) impacting reported e-Commerce growth
  • NPL ratio increased to 7.0% in 6M 2026 from 6.1% in FY 2025

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001985487-26-000024
Document: kaspi.kz_form_6-k_aug_10.htm0001985487-26-000024
Document: kspi-ex99_2.htm0001985487-26-000024
Document: 0001985487-26-000024-index-headers.html0001985487-26-000024
Document: 0001985487-26-000024-index.html0001985487-26-000024
Document: 0001985487-26-000024.txt0001985487-26-000024
22 reports for KSPI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +13.55%Jun 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KSPI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.15awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−6.54%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$105.01awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−13.54%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$106.46awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−14.71%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$103.70awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−12.44%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$99.55awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−8.79%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−3.41%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$94.00awaiting T+60—$90.79 (−3.41%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$85.80 $97.43▲ +13.55%▲ +10.72%$90.79 (+5.82%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%$90.79 (+12.70%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.56 $107.21▲ +33.08%▲ +29.82%$90.79 (+12.70%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 49m

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Report published Aug 10, 2026