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Institutional Cluster

KGS

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 59 buyers, 21 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for any insider buying or earnings catalyst that could confirm the thesis. The 45-day 13F reporting lag means these positions may already be partially unwound — watch for Q3 2026 volume patterns and any KGS guidance updates.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
KGS ▼ -14.29% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.29% · α vs SPY -16.41% · entry $62.50 → $53.57
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+31 -22.97% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.16%
call +2.16% · α +1.31%
$63.85
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-6.75%
call -6.75% · α -6.25%
$58.28
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-14.29%
call -14.29% · α -16.41%
$53.57
settled 19d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 5w

Executive Summary

A massive institutional cluster in KGS shows 59 buyers adding $448M in net new positions during 2026-Q2, led by Lone Pine's new $63.5M stake and Vanguard Portfolio Management doubling to $310M. The buying is overwhelmingly from mega-passive and asset managers, with quant funds Millennium and D.E. Shaw also adding materially. The 21 sellers are mostly quant and asset managers trimming or near-exiting, including RenTech cutting 63% of its position.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$807.3M
Sell Value
$79.3M
Net Flow
$448.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $448.0M

▲ Buyers (59)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Lone PineNEW+0%$63.5M$63.5M
Vanguard Portfolio ManagementDOUBLED+113.6%$310.1M$197.4M
GeodeADD+25%$187.2M$71.0M
Morgan StanleyADD+35.7%$94.8M$40.6M
MillenniumADD+90.9%$37.8M$22.4M

▼ Sellers (21)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
RenTechTRIM-63.4%$48.9M-$25.8M
CitigroupNEAR_EXIT-79.6%$24.1M-$17.8M
Walleye CapitalNEAR_EXIT-85.8%$23.3M-$19.1M
Jane Street GroupNEAR_EXIT-95.3%$7.6M-$7.1M

Key Facts

  • 59 institutional buyers added $448M in net new KGS positions in 2026-Q2
  • Lone Pine initiated a new $63.5M stake (845K shares)
  • Vanguard Portfolio Management doubled its position to $310M (4.13M shares)
  • 21 sellers reduced holdings by $79.3M, led by RenTech trimming 63% ($25.8M sold)
  • Mega-passive funds (Geode, Morgan Stanley, Northern Trust) were the largest buyers by dollar amount
  • Active managers dominated the sell side with 5 near-exits
  • No open-market insider buying corroborates the institutional cluster (confluence score 25/100, divergent)

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of $448M across 59 buyers, with $79.3M in selling from 21 funds — net inflow of ~$369M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 45-day reporting lag — positions may already be unwound
  • No insider buying to corroborate institutional conviction
  • Sell-side includes sophisticated quant funds (RenTech, Bridgewater) trimming materially
  • Mega-passive buying may reflect index rebalancing rather than active conviction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Natural Gas Transmission
Analyst Consensus
95% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-KGS-2026-Q2
16 reports for KGS
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +29.53%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KGS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$58.73 $47.21▲ +19.62%▲ +19.82%—
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.41 $50.07▼ −14.28%▼ −16.34%—
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$62.50 $53.57▼ −14.29%▼ −16.41%—
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$58.68awaiting T+20——
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.09 $61.10▼ −11.56%▼ −14.06%—
Jun 16, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$66.55 $65.94▼ −0.92%▼ −2.23%—
May 15, 2026
23w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$73.00 $69.25▲ +5.14%▲ +7.26%—
May 13, 2026
23w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$74.23 $69.08▲ +6.94%▲ +6.08%—
May 13, 2026
23w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$74.23 $69.08▼ −6.94%▼ −6.08%—
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$75.52 $67.08▼ −11.18%▼ −10.87%—
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 10, 2026