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8-K ·Filed May 8, 2026

KG

Kestrel Group Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-032893
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The continued net losses and declining book value signal ongoing cash burn. Monitor for further deterioration in the Legacy Reinsurance segment and any capital-raising measures. The strong fee revenue growth in Program Services is promising but insufficient to offset legacy losses; watch for margin improvement in coming quarters.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
KG ▼ -24.53% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.53% · α vs SPY +28.92% · entry $11.66 → $8.80
Entry = T+0 close
May 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.86%
call +3.86% · α +3.72%
$11.21
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+1.63%
call -1.63% · α -1.71%
$11.85
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+1.03%
call -1.03% · α -1.33%
$11.78
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-24.53%
call +24.53% · α +28.92%
$8.80
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kestrel Group reported Q1 2026 net loss from continuing operations of $7.0M ($0.90 per share), widening sharply from a $0.4M loss in Q1 2025. Program Services fee revenue grew 287% YoY to $3.1M, but the Legacy Reinsurance segment posted a $3.3M underwriting loss and elevated G&A expenses drove total costs higher. Book value per share fell to $15.52 from $16.57 at year-end, reflecting continued cash burn and negative earnings.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.90
Revenue
$10.2M
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Net loss from continuing operations of $7.0M ($0.90 per share) vs. $0.4M loss in Q1 2025
  • Total revenues flat at $10.2M vs. Q4 2025, but up from $0.8M YoY due to Maiden merger
  • Program Services fee revenue grew 286.6% YoY to $3.1M; premium produced up 303.6% to $94.2M
  • Legacy Reinsurance segment underwriting loss of $3.3M ($2.4M AmTrust, $0.9M Diversified)
  • Book value per share declined 6.3% to $15.52 from $16.57 at Dec 31, 2025
  • Total assets $964M, shareholders' equity $121M; NOL carryforwards of $476M
  • G&A expenses $11.7M including $3.0M annual/non-recurring items and $0.8M fair value adjustments

Financial Impact

Net loss of $7.0M in Q1 2026 vs. $0.4M in Q1 2025; book value decline of ~$7M in the quarter

net incomeepsbook valueequity

Risk Factors

  • Legacy Reinsurance run-off losses persist and could expand
  • Elevated G&A costs may not normalize as expected
  • Negative earnings momentum could lead to equity dilution or debt covenant issues
  • Low analyst coverage (0% bullish) and negative historical stock response to earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-032893
Document: 0001628280-26-032893-index-headers.html0001628280-26-032893
Document: 0001628280-26-032893-index.html0001628280-26-032893
Document: 0001628280-26-032893.txt0001628280-26-032893
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-032893
6 reports for KG
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +14.06%Aug 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.82 $8.60▲ +2.49%▲ +2.46%$5.12 (+41.95%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.82 $8.60▲ +2.49%▲ +2.46%$5.12 (+41.95%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.78 $11.14▼ −5.43%▼ −3.86%$5.12 (−56.54%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$11.66 $11.21▲ +3.86%▲ +3.72%$5.12 (+56.09%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.82 $10.28▲ +4.68%▲ +4.52%$5.12 (−47.86%)
Apr 6, 2026
29w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.12 $11.28▲ +1.44%▼ −1.10%$5.12 (−53.96%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 38m

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Report published May 8, 2026