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8-K ·Filed May 4, 2026

JOE

ST JOE Co
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-054983
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor quarterly filings for actual repurchase activity. If executed aggressively, EPS accretion and reduced share count could provide support; absence of buying may reverse sentiment. The market's bearish consensus warrants caution.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
JOE ▼ -2.97% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.97% · α vs SPY -5.71% · entry $65.00 → $63.07
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.08%
call +1.08% · α -0.31%
$65.70
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-1.22%
call -1.22% · α -3.20%
$64.21
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-2.18%
call -2.18% · α -7.14%
$63.58
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-2.97%
call -2.97% · α -5.71%
$63.07
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

St. Joe Company's board authorized an additional $150.8 million for share repurchases, bringing total authority to $200 million. This signals management's confidence but lacks detail on execution pace or underlying financial performance.

Key Facts

  • Total repurchase authority increased to $200 million (prior remaining $49.2M plus additional $150.8M).
  • Program has no expiration date.
  • Authorization equals ~5.7% of current market cap ($3.5B).

Financial Impact

Up to $200 million in share repurchases, representing ~5.7% of shares outstanding at current market cap.

shares outstandingeps (accretive if executed)

Risk Factors

  • Buyback may not be fully or quickly executed, limiting impact.
  • Analyst consensus is heavily bearish, suggesting skepticism about fundamentals.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Land Subdividers & Developers (No Cemeteries)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-054983
Document: 0001104659-26-054983-index-headers.html0001104659-26-054983
Document: 0001104659-26-054983-index.html0001104659-26-054983
Document: 0001104659-26-054983.txt0001104659-26-054983
2 reports for JOE
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for JOE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$65.00 $63.07▼ −2.97%▼ −5.71%$68.05 (+4.69%)
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$69.73 $63.81▼ −8.49%▼ −16.66%$68.05 (−2.41%)
Showing 2 of 2

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 27m)

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Report published May 4, 2026