SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed Jul 27, 2026

JAGX

Jaguar Health, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002447
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ELOC is now live — expect immediate selling pressure as C/M Capital Master Fund can resell shares at a discount. Monitor daily volume and any drawdown announcements. The going-concern risk and severe dilution make this a high-risk short thesis; any positive news (e.g., FDA approval) could trigger a short squeeze given the small float.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
JAGX ▼ -82.46% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +82.46% · α vs SPY +86.52% · entry $0.9999 → $0.1753
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 27, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.55%
call +3.55% · α +3.79%
$0.9644
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.01%
call -0.01% · α +2.50%
$1.00
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-8.79%
call +8.79% · α +12.09%
$0.9120
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-82.46%
call +82.46% · α +86.52%
$0.1753
settled 8d ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Two S-1 registration statements for Jaguar Health (JAGX) became effective on July 24, 2026, covering File Nos. 333-297489 and 333-297488. The prior S-1/A filing (3 days ago) registered up to 41,000,000 shares for resale by C/M Capital Master Fund under a $40M ELOC, with the company receiving no proceeds but able to draw at a 5%+ discount. Effectiveness now allows immediate share resale, activating a deeply dilutive capital structure for a $5M market-cap company with a going-concern audit opinion — profoundly bearish for existing common stockholders.

Key Facts

  • Two S-1 registration statements (File Nos. 333-297489 and 333-297488) became effective on July 24, 2026.
  • The prior S-1/A registered up to 41,000,000 shares for resale by C/M Capital Master Fund, LP under a $40 million ELOC.
  • Jaguar Health will not receive proceeds from the resale but may draw up to $40M from the ELOC at a 5%+ discount to market.
  • The potential dilution is up to 89% of outstanding shares for a company with a $5M market cap and a going-concern audit opinion.
  • A $2M Series P Preferred Stock financing was also completed on the same date as the S-1/A, signaling severe capital needs.

Financial Impact

Up to 41M shares registered for resale, representing up to ~89% dilution of current outstanding shares, under a $40M ELOC with 5%+ discount. Company has a $5M market cap.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution from ELOC share resales at a discount to market price.
  • Going-concern audit opinion signals potential bankruptcy risk.
  • Severe capital needs may require additional dilutive financing.
  • Low market cap ($5M) makes stock highly volatile and susceptible to manipulation.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (JAGX) — Batch item 19999999995-26-002447
Document: 9999999995-26-002447-index.html9999999995-26-002446
Document: 9999999995-26-002447.txt9999999995-26-002447
EFFECT Filing (JAGX) — Batch item 49999999995-26-002446
Document: 9999999995-26-002446-index.html9999999995-26-002447
Document: 9999999995-26-002446.txt9999999995-26-002447
24 reports for JAGX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 14 of 16 best @ T+1▲ +97.54%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JAGX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.04awaiting T+60—$2.37 (−16.18%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.79awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+50.52%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.73awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+49.89%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.02awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+60.63%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.70awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+69.22%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.06awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+66.43%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.06awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+66.43%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.46awaiting T+60—$2.37 (−93.12%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2246awaiting T+60—$2.37 (−955.21%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.41awaiting T+60—$2.37 (+77.23%)
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (12h 53m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jul 27, 2026