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424B5 ·Filed Sep 3, 2026

JAGX

Jaguar Health, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-381113
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The ATM remains open but has been barely used — the real risk is that any future drawdown at current sub-$1 prices would be massively dilutive. Monitor daily volume and any 8-K disclosing ATM sales. The heavy historical dilution pattern (20 offerings in 24 months) suggests the company may need to tap this facility if cash runs low.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
JAGX ▼ -56.77% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +56.77% · α vs SPY +55.65% · entry $10.41 → $4.50
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 +53.28% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-13.98%
call +13.98% · α +13.59%
$8.96
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-54.76%
call +54.76% · α +53.61%
$4.71
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-56.77%
call +56.77% · α +55.65%
$4.50
settled 25d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Jaguar Health filed Supplement No. 7 to its ATM prospectus, reducing the remaining capacity under its at-the-market offering program to approximately $4.78 million due to Form S-3 General Instruction I.B.6 limitations. The company has sold only ~$215,000 under this instruction in the prior 12 months, and the stock closed at $0.7299 on September 2, 2026, well below the $2.81 reference price used for the non-affiliate market value calculation. This filing is a routine administrative update to a standing ATM program for a micro-cap biotech with a $4M market cap and a history of heavy dilution (20 offering filings in 24 months).

Key Facts

  • Remaining ATM capacity reduced to ~$4.78 million (from ~$14.99M non-affiliate market value).
  • Only ~$214,660 sold under I.B.6 in prior 12 months — minimal execution to date.
  • Stock price $0.7299 on Sept 2, 2026 vs. $2.81 reference price — 74% decline implies massive dilution if shares are sold at current levels.
  • 20 offering/registration filings in last 24 months — persistent dilution pattern.
  • Market cap ~$4M — any ATM sales at current price would be highly dilutive.

Financial Impact

Up to $4.78M in potential additional dilution at current ~$0.73 price would require ~6.5M new shares (~122% of the 5.34M non-affiliate float), though actual sales have been minimal to date.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Potential massive dilution if company sells shares at current ~$0.73 price.
  • Micro-cap biotech with $4M market cap — high bankruptcy/cash-runway risk.
  • Persistent ATM program since 2021 with minimal disclosed use suggests ongoing capital needs.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-381113
Document: 0001193125-26-381113-index-headers.html0001193125-26-381113
Document: 0001193125-26-381113-index.html0001193125-26-381113
Document: 0001193125-26-381113.txt0001193125-26-381113
24 reports for JAGX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 7 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 14 of 16 best @ T+1▲ +97.54%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JAGX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.04awaiting T+60—$2.24 (−9.80%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.79awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+53.24%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.73awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+52.64%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.02awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+62.79%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
SC 13G/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.70awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+70.91%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.06awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+68.27%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.06awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+68.27%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.46awaiting T+60—$2.24 (−93.50%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2246awaiting T+60—$2.24 (−897.33%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.41awaiting T+60—$2.24 (+78.48%)
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 3, 2026