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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

IRON

Disc Medicine, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3d 14h ago SEC0001193125-26-429105
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The capital raise removes near-term financing risk but at meaningful dilution. The key catalyst is the Phase 3 APOLLO bitopertin readout in Q4 2026 — success could offset dilution sentiment, while failure would leave the company with excess cash and no near-term commercial product. Monitor for APOLLO topline data and any insider selling post-lockup expiration.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Disc Medicine completed a $450M upsized public offering of 6M shares at $75/share, raising ~$422.4M net proceeds to extend cash runway into 2030. The company also disclosed preliminary Q3 2026 cash of ~$682.8M, down from $717.7M at Q2 end, reflecting ongoing clinical spend. The offering was priced at a ~5.6% discount to the prior close ($79.48), creating immediate dilution for existing holders, though the capital strengthens the balance sheet ahead of the pivotal Phase 3 APOLLO bitopertin readout in Q4 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.54
est −$1.74 · +11.5%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Priced upsized offering of 6,000,000 shares at $75.00/share, raising $450M gross / ~$422.4M net proceeds
  • Underwriters have 30-day option for up to 900,000 additional shares ($52.5M at offering price)
  • Preliminary Q3 2026 cash balance ~$682.8M, down from $717.7M at June 30, 2026
  • Pro forma cash runway extended into 2030, excluding potential bitopertin revenue
  • Offering priced at ~5.6% discount to $79.48 prior close; 6M new shares represent ~15.5% dilution vs 38.7M pre-offering shares outstanding
  • Q2 2026 net loss $59.5M on $0 revenue; R&D spend $46.9M, SG&A $18.1M
  • Phase 3 APOLLO topline data for bitopertin in EPP expected Q4 2026

Financial Impact

~$450M gross proceeds raised; ~15.5% dilution to existing shareholders; pro forma cash runway extended into 2030

dilutioncash_positioncash_runway

Risk Factors

  • Phase 3 APOLLO trial failure would eliminate the near-term commercial catalyst
  • Dilution overhang as 6M new shares enter the float
  • Cash burn rate of ~$60M/quarter implies ~3 years of runway even after raise
  • No approved products or revenue; pre-commercialization costs may increase

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-429105
Document: d457786d8k.htm0001193125-26-429105
Document: d457786dex991.htm0001193125-26-429105
Document: d457786dex992.htm0001193125-26-429105
Document: d457786dex51.htm0001193125-26-429105
Document: 0001193125-26-429105-index-headers.html0001193125-26-429105
Document: 0001193125-26-429105-index.html0001193125-26-429105
Document: 0001193125-26-429105.txt0001193125-26-429105
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-429105
36 reports for IRON
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 14 best @ T+20▲ +20.07%Sep 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IRON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$74.95awaiting T+20—$74.51 (+0.59%)
Oct 21, 2026
4d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$75.03awaiting T+20—$74.51 (+0.69%)
Oct 21, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.03awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−0.69%)
Oct 21, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$75.03awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−0.69%)
Oct 21, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.03awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−0.69%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.00awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−1.96%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.00awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−1.96%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.00awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−1.96%)
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$79.48awaiting T+20—$74.51 (+6.25%)
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$79.48awaiting T+20—$74.51 (−6.25%)
Showing 10 of 36

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