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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed7d 16h ago SEC0001418819-26-000053
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor regulatory approvals for the Rocket Lab merger as the next binary catalyst; the stock is trading on deal probability rather than standalone fundamentals. The Aireon integration and EMSS renewal timeline are secondary drivers.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
IRDM ▲ +3.89% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +3.89% · α vs SPY +3.81% · entry $43.94 → $45.65
Next anchor: T+20d in 20d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.71%
call +0.71% · α +0.18%
$44.25
settled 7d ago
T+5d
+3.89%
call +3.89% · α +3.81%
$45.65
settled 16h ago
T+20d
Pending
in 20d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Iridium reported Q3 2026 total revenue of $245.7M (+8% YoY) and GAAP net income of $106.9M ($0.98/diluted share), which includes a $103.9M gain from the Aireon acquisition. The pending Rocket Lab acquisition received 99.6% stockholder approval, with closing expected by mid-2027. Excluding the Aireon gain, operational EBITDA was essentially flat YoY at $135.6M, and net leverage rose to 4.2x, signaling increased debt from the Aireon deal.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.38
est $0.29 · +31.0%
Revenue
$245.7M
est $238.5M · +3.0% · +8.0% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Total revenue $245.7M, +8% YoY; service revenue $187.5M, +13% YoY driven by Aireon acquisition
  • GAAP net income $106.9M ($0.98/diluted share) vs $37.1M ($0.35) YoY, boosted by $103.9M Aireon gain
  • Operational EBITDA $135.6M, essentially flat vs $136.6M YoY; net leverage increased to 4.2x from 3.3x
  • Rocket Lab acquisition received 99.6% stockholder approval (81.4% of outstanding shares voted in favor); expected close mid-2027
  • Quarterly dividend to increase to $0.16/share starting Q4 2026, a 5.2% annual increase
  • EMSS Contract extended through March 2027 at same contractual rate; renewal expected in 2027
  • Total billable subscribers 2,696,000, +6% YoY; commercial IoT subscribers +9% YoY

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 8% YoY to $245.7M, but OEBITDA flat; net debt increased to $2.1B from $1.6B in Q2 2026 due to Aireon acquisition financing

revenuenet incomeoperational EBITDAnet debtleverage

Risk Factors

  • Rocket Lab acquisition may not close if regulatory approvals are delayed or denied
  • Net leverage increased to 4.2x from 3.3x, reducing financial flexibility
  • OEBITDA flat YoY despite revenue growth, indicating margin pressure from Aireon-related costs and cash compensation changes
  • EMSS Contract renewal beyond March 2027 is not yet secured

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001418819-26-000053
Document: irdm-20261020.htm0001418819-26-000053
Document: 0001418819-26-000053-index-headers.html0001418819-26-000053
Document: 0001418819-26-000053-index.html0001418819-26-000053
Document: 0001418819-26-000053.txt0001418819-26-000053
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001418819-26-000053
29 reports for IRDM
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+1 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +13.56%May 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IRDM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$44.89awaiting T+1—$45.65 (+1.69%)
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.40 $44.52▲ +0.26%▼ −0.45%$45.65 (+2.82%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.94 $44.25▲ +0.71%▲ +0.18%$45.65 (+3.89%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.94 $44.25▲ +0.71%▲ +0.18%$45.65 (+3.89%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$48.75 $48.33▼ −0.86%▼ −0.12%$45.65 (−6.36%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$48.21 $48.65▲ +0.91%▲ +0.93%$45.65 (−5.31%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.09 $47.28▲ +0.40%▲ +0.84%$45.65 (−3.06%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.09 $47.28▲ +0.40%▲ +0.84%$45.65 (−3.06%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$47.21 $47.80▲ +1.25%▲ +1.80%$45.65 (−3.30%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$48.45 $48.98▲ +1.09%▲ +0.68%$45.65 (−5.78%)
Showing 10 of 29

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (9h 38m)

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Report published Oct 20, 2026