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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

IPM

INTELLIGENT PROTECTION MANAGEMENT CORP.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002071
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf is now 'live' — IPM can conduct an offering at any time. Given the small market cap and weak fundamentals (net loss, accumulated deficit), any takedown would be highly dilutive. Monitor for a prospectus supplement or 424B filing indicating an actual offering. The NewtekOne resale shelf also remains a near-term overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
IPM ▲ +7.65% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -7.65% · α vs SPY -5.90% · entry $1.70 → $1.83
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.18%
call -1.18% · α -2.63%
$1.72
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-0.59%
call +0.59% · α -1.48%
$1.69
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+6.47%
call -6.47% · α -6.62%
$1.81
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+7.65%
call -7.65% · α -5.90%
$1.83
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective IPM's universal shelf registration (File No. 333-296744) on June 18, 2026, enabling the company to sell up to $50M in securities. This follows a prior S-3 filed 10 days ago and replaces a terminated 2021 shelf with $39.9M unsold. The $50M shelf represents ~294% of IPM's $17M market cap, creating a material dilution overhang that is now active.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: June 18, 2026 for S-3 File No. 333-296744
  • Shelf registers up to $50M in common stock, preferred stock, warrants, and units
  • Replaces a prior 2021 S-3 that had $39.9M unsold and was terminated
  • IPM's market cap is ~$16M; the shelf is ~294% of current market cap
  • Q1 2026 net loss of $660K on $6.35M revenue, with $8.08M total cash and $25.9M accumulated deficit
  • A separate S-3 (filed March 2026) also remains effective for NewtekOne to resell up to 9M shares upon conversion of Series A Preferred

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to ~294% of current market cap via the $50M shelf, plus additional dilution from the NewtekOne resale shelf (up to 9M shares). IPM will not receive proceeds from the NewtekOne resale.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate risk of a dilutive offering given the shelf is now effective and the company has a history of using shelf filings
  • NewtekOne resale of up to 9M shares adds further overhang with no proceeds to IPM
  • Weak financial position (net loss, accumulated deficit) increases likelihood of capital raise

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002071
Document: 9999999995-26-002071-index.html9999999995-26-002071
Document: 9999999995-26-002071.txt9999999995-26-002071
8 reports for IPM
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +6.77%May 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IPM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.75awaiting T+5—$1.70 (−2.58%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.70 $1.69▲ +0.59%▼ −1.48%$1.70 (−0.00%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.80 $1.70▲ +5.56%▲ +4.17%$1.70 (+5.56%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.92 $2.05▲ +6.77%▲ +5.56%$1.70 (−11.46%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.99 $2.00▲ +0.50%▼ −1.16%$1.70 (−14.57%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.95 $1.92▼ −1.54%▼ −0.38%$1.70 (−12.82%)
Mar 23, 2026
31w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.68 $1.49▼ −11.31%▼ −7.75%$1.70 (+1.19%)
Mar 17, 2026
31w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.61 $1.58▲ +1.86%▲ +1.15%$1.70 (−5.59%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 22, 2026