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8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

IONQ

IonQ, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed13d 14h ago SEC0001193125-26-419609
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for regulatory approval timeline — the deal is subject to HSR and other regulatory approvals, with a 90-day outside date (Jan 7, 2027). Monitor IonQ's Q3 2026 earnings for any update on expected dilution and the Elisity revenue run-rate. The earnout collar ($33.07-$49.61 VWAP collar) means the final share count is highly sensitive to IonQ's stock price at close.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
IONQ ▼ -9.99% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.99% · α vs SPY -8.84% · entry $34.73 → $31.26
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 -1.05% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.53%
call -9.53% · α -8.45%
$31.42
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-9.99%
call -9.99% · α -8.84%
$31.26
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

IonQ (IONQ) has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Elisity, a Zero Trust security company, in an all-stock transaction valued at up to $1.3 billion, including $1.15 billion in upfront consideration and up to $150 million in earnout based on revenue milestones. The deal pairs IonQ's post-quantum cryptography and quantum key distribution capabilities with Elisity's enterprise Zero Trust platform, targeting the $10B+ microsegmentation market. Elisity brings a high-growth recurring revenue business with year-over-year revenue doubling and zero customer churn. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$1.3B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • IonQ to acquire Elisity for up to $1.3 billion in all-stock consideration: $1.15B upfront plus up to $150M earnout
  • Closing consideration is $1.15B in IonQ common stock, subject to a collar: VWAP floor of $33.07 and cap of $49.61 per share
  • Earnout of up to $150M based on Elisity revenue milestones from Aug 1, 2026 to Jan 31, 2028 (two tranches of $75M each)
  • IonQ establishing a $100M retention pool in RSUs for Elisity employees, vesting over 4 years
  • Elisity has >100 global customer deployments, doubling revenue and customer base YoY with zero churn
  • Elisity CEO James Winebrenner to continue leading the business post-close
  • Transaction expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions
  • Deal structured as a tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a) of the Code
  • IonQ acquired RWI policy with $130M limit, costs split 50/50 with Elisity securityholders

Financial Impact

Up to $1.3 billion all-stock acquisition ($1.15B upfront + $150M earnout) plus $100M retention pool; total potential total consideration up to $1.4B including retention pool)

revenuedilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Dilution risk: IonQ is issuing a large block of stock (~23-35M shares depending on VWAP) — significant dilution to existing shareholders
  • Integration risk: Integrating Elisity's Zero Trust platform with IonQ's quantum security stack is complex and could cause disruption
  • Earnout risk: $150M earnout is contingent on Elisity revenue performance; if Elisity fails to hit revenue targets, the earnout may not pay out
  • Regulatory risk: HSR and other regulatory approvals could delay or block the deal
  • Competition: IonQ faces competition from large cybersecurity and quantum computing competitors

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-419609
Document: ionq-20261009.htm0001193125-26-419609
Document: ionq-ex99_1.htm0001193125-26-419609
Document: 0001193125-26-419609-index-headers.html0001193125-26-419609
Document: 0001193125-26-419609-index.html0001193125-26-419609
Document: 0001193125-26-419609.txt0001193125-26-419609
24 reports for IONQ
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +65.94%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IONQ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$31.27awaiting T+20—$31.27 (−0.00%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.78awaiting T+20—$31.27 (−1.59%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.42awaiting T+20—$31.27 (+0.48%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$31.42awaiting T+20—$31.27 (+0.48%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$34.73awaiting T+20—$31.27 (−9.96%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.86awaiting T+20—$31.27 (−28.70%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.75 $39.89▲ +8.54%▲ +6.68%$31.27 (−14.91%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$40.47 $43.29▲ +6.97%▲ +5.00%$31.27 (−22.73%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$39.31 $45.08▲ +14.67%▲ +14.61%$31.27 (−20.45%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.46 $44.64▲ +5.13%▲ +5.23%$31.27 (−26.35%)
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 41m)

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Report published Oct 13, 2026