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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

IFRX

InflaRx N.V.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002649
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for a prospectus supplement or 424B filing announcing the terms of a potential offering. The effective shelf creates an overhang that may pressure the stock until the company either draws on the shelf or provides clarity on its capital plans. Given the small market cap, any offering could be meaningfully dilutive.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
IFRX ▲ +3.98% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -3.98% · α vs SPY -5.73% · entry $2.01 → $2.09
Next anchor: T+60d in 11d
Latest observation: T+50 +0.77% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.49%
call -1.49% · α -1.69%
$2.04
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.50%
call -0.50% · α -2.46%
$2.02
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.98%
call -3.98% · α -5.73%
$2.09
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 11d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

InflaRx N.V.'s shelf registration statement (F-3, File No. 333-298039) became effective on August 12, 2026, allowing the company to offer and sell securities from time to time. This creates a potential dilution overhang for existing shareholders, as the company can now issue shares at its discretion without further SEC review. The effectiveness is a routine procedural step but introduces near-term uncertainty regarding the timing and size of any potential offering, particularly given the company's small market cap of ~$295M and the cross-filing actuarial verdict confirming this as an amplifier event for shelf-context filings.

Key Facts

  • InflaRx N.V.'s shelf registration (File No. 333-298039) became effective on August 12, 2026.
  • The company can now offer and sell securities, including common shares, at any time without further SEC review.
  • The filing is a Form EFFECT under the 1933 Act, confirming SEC approval of the shelf registration statement.
  • The company's market capitalization is approximately $295 million, making any potential offering material relative to current equity value.
  • The cross-filing actuarial verdict identifies this as an amplifier event for shelf-context filings, increasing the significance of the dilution overhang.

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from future share issuance; offering size and terms are undisclosed at this time.

dilutionshare countmarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Dilution risk from potential future share issuance under the effective shelf registration.
  • Uncertainty regarding the timing and size of any offering, which could pressure the stock price.
  • The company's small market cap (~$295M) amplifies the impact of any potential equity raise.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002649
Document: 9999999995-26-002649-index.html9999999995-26-002649
Document: 9999999995-26-002649.txt9999999995-26-002649
21 reports for IFRX
Performance horizon
56% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +142.72%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IFRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.56awaiting T+20—$1.58 (+0.96%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.53awaiting T+20—$1.58 (+2.94%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.72awaiting T+20—$1.58 (−8.43%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.71awaiting T+20—$1.58 (−7.89%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.07 $2.02▲ +2.42%▲ +0.44%$1.58 (+23.91%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.01 $2.09▼ −3.98%▼ −5.73%$1.58 (+21.64%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.72 $2.23▲ +29.65%▲ +29.05%$1.58 (−8.43%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.33 $1.65▼ −29.18%▼ −27.00%$1.58 (−32.40%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$2.24 $1.70▼ −24.11%▼ −23.08%$1.58 (−29.69%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$2.65 $2.06▲ +22.26%▲ +25.40%$1.58 (+40.57%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 12m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026