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GOVT-CONTRACT ·Filed Sep 11, 2026

IBM

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonimmediate Processed1mo ago
Large government contract award ($500M+)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine contract modification with immaterial financial impact. Monitor for larger GSA or federal IT services awards that could meaningfully contribute to IBM's consulting and technology services revenue.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
IBM ▼ -8.86% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -8.86% · α vs SPY -11.12% · entry $249.09 → $227.02
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+29 +8.20% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.29%
call -0.29% · α +0.17%
$248.37
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-6.89%
call -6.89% · α -8.55%
$231.93
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-8.86%
call -8.86% · α -11.12%
$227.02
settled 14d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

IBM received a $34.2 million contract modification from the GSA for the ETSNext travel and expense technology managed service, covering base period year 3 transaction minimums and several administrative changes. The award is very small relative to IBM's annualized revenue of ~$68.6 billion, representing about 0.05%.

Key Financial Metrics

Award Amount
$34.2M
Agency
General Services Administration
Contract Type
modification
Rev Impact
+0.0%

Key Facts

  • Modification P00020 to contract 47QMCB25C0001 valued at $34,168,194.25
  • Awarded by the General Services Administration (GSA)
  • Covers E-GOV Travel Service, Next Generation (ETSNext) Travel and Expense (T&E) Technology Managed Service
  • Includes base period year 3 transaction minimums and adds PCRs 005, 006, 007, 008, and 010
  • Award amount is approximately 0.05% of IBM's annualized revenue of $68.6 billion

Financial Impact

$34.2 million contract modification, approximately 0.05% of annualized revenue

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Government contract modifications are routine and do not indicate new business wins
  • Funding subject to federal budget and continuing resolutions

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 federal contract record from official U.S. government contract data.

DocumentAccession Number
GOVT-CONTRACT Data (Synthetic)contract-47QMCB25C0001
24 reports for IBM
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +6.01%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IBM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$252.11 $253.56▲ +0.58%▲ +1.10%$253.44 (+0.53%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$252.11 $253.56▲ +0.58%▲ +1.10%$253.44 (+0.53%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$251.46 $252.11▲ +0.26%▲ +1.44%$253.44 (+0.79%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$227.13 $227.02▼ −0.05%▲ +0.01%$253.44 (+11.58%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$222.64 $221.58▼ −0.48%▼ −1.15%$253.44 (+13.83%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$225.62 $222.64▼ −1.32%▼ −2.06%$253.44 (+12.33%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$219.99 $219.93▼ −0.03%▲ +0.18%$253.44 (+15.21%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$249.09 $248.37▼ −0.29%▲ +0.17%$253.44 (+1.75%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$238.79 $235.59▼ −1.34%▼ −1.11%$253.44 (+6.14%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$235.98 $237.14▲ +0.49%▼ −0.21%$253.44 (+7.40%)
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 11, 2026