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SC 13D/A ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

HUT

Hut 8 Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d ago SEC0001104659-26-112495
Activist stake amendment (position change)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The VPF structure effectively caps Ho's upside above $221/share while providing immediate liquidity. If HUT trades below $40 at maturity, all 1.5M shares will be delivered to JPMorgan, creating overhang. Monitor HUT's price trajectory relative to the $40 floor and $221 cap ahead of the May 2027 settlement.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
HUT ▼ -7.84% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +7.84% · α vs SPY +9.14% · entry $86.36 → $79.59
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +16.80% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.79%
call -3.79% · α -3.05%
$89.63
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-7.84%
call +7.84% · α +9.14%
$79.59
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Michael Ho, CEO of Hut 8 Corp., filed an amendment to his Schedule 13D disclosing a prepaid variable share forward transaction (VPF) entered into on September 29, 2026, through his wholly owned entity Springtide Creek Ltd. The VPF covers 1,500,000 shares of HUT common stock (approximately 1.22% of shares outstanding) and provides an upfront cash prepayment of $58,326,600, representing ~41.93% of the current market value at a floor price of $40.00 per share. The transaction effectively monetizes a portion of Ho's stake while capping upside participation above $221.00 per share, with settlement due by May 17, 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
5.13%
Investor
Michael Ho

Key Facts

  • Michael Ho entered into a prepaid variable share forward (VPF) covering 1,500,000 shares of HUT common stock on September 29, 2026.
  • Springtide Creek Ltd, Ho's wholly owned entity, received an upfront prepayment of $58,326,600 (~41.93% of current market value).
  • The VPF has a floor price of $40.00/share and a cap price of $221.00/share.
  • At maturity on May 17, 2027, settlement is based on a 3-day VWAP: if price ≤ $40, all 1.5M shares delivered; if $40 < price ≤ $221, shares delivered = 1.5M × ($40 / VWAP); if price > $221, shares delivered = 1.5M × ($40 + (VWAP - $221)) / VWAP.
  • Ho retains voting rights on the pledged shares during the term of the VPF.
  • Ho's beneficial ownership is reported as 6,326,412 shares (5.13% of 123,259,468 shares outstanding as of July 31, 2026).
  • The VPF covers ~23.7% of Ho's reported stake (1.5M of 6.33M shares).

Financial Impact

Upfront cash prepayment of $58,326,600 received; potential dilution of up to 1.5M shares (1.22% of outstanding) at maturity if HUT trades below $40.00.

dilutioninsider ownershipcash position

Risk Factors

  • If HUT stock price declines below $40.00 by May 2027, Ho must deliver all 1.5M shares, increasing potential selling pressure.
  • The VPF reduces Ho's economic exposure to ~1.22% of shares outstanding, signaling potential lack of conviction at current levels.
  • JPMorgan's hedging activities during the initial hedging period could create downward pressure on HUT's stock price.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D/A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-112495
Document: 0001104659-26-112495-index-headers.html0001104659-26-112495
Document: 0001104659-26-112495-index.html0001104659-26-112495
Document: 0001104659-26-112495.txt0001104659-26-112495
20 reports for HUT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +63.18%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HUT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$86.36 $79.59▲ +7.84%▲ +9.14%$62.97 (+27.08%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$92.71 $89.27▼ −3.71%▼ −4.91%$62.97 (−32.08%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$101.54 $86.36▼ −14.95%▼ −14.53%$62.97 (−37.99%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$101.16 $88.78▼ −12.24%▼ −12.14%$62.97 (−37.75%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$100.93 $109.99▲ +8.98%▲ +9.40%$62.97 (−37.61%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$118.88 $116.10▼ −2.34%▼ −1.30%$62.97 (−47.03%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$116.31 $118.88▲ +2.21%▲ +1.78%$62.97 (−45.86%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$112.24 $118.86▲ +5.90%▲ +5.33%$62.97 (−43.90%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$127.76 $116.31▼ −8.96%▼ −6.41%$62.97 (−50.71%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$105.26 $124.24▲ +18.03%▲ +16.43%$62.97 (−40.18%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 51m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026