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8-K ·Filed Oct 9, 2026

HUM

HUMANA INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed18d 22h ago SEC0000049071-26-000057
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The Stars rating beat is a positive operational signal for 2028 earnings power, but the one-time nature of the benefit and lack of a quantified dollar figure means the magnitude is unknown. The December 10 investor update will provide a mark-to-update on the 2028 earnings framework.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled: T+5d
HUM ▼ -4.33% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -4.33% · α vs SPY -2.36% · entry $431.87 → $413.16
Next anchor: T+20d in 9d
Latest observation: T+10 +2.09% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.38%
call +0.38% · α +0.44%
$433.50
settled 16d ago
T+5d
-4.33%
call -4.33% · α -2.36%
$413.16
settled 12d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 9d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Humana disclosed that its 2027 Medicare Advantage Star Ratings (Bonus Year 2028) exceeded its Top Quartile goal, defined as Stars revenue PMPM 10% above the peer group median. The company affirmed its FY 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $9.00. The Stars outperformance is expected to provide a one-time benefit in 2028 for investments and shareholder returns, but the company cautioned that some of the outperformance is one-time in nature.

Key Facts

  • 2027 Medicare Advantage Star Ratings (BY 2028) exceeded Top Quartile goal (Stars revenue PMPM 10% above peer median).
  • FY 2026 adjusted EPS guidance affirmed at at least $9.00.
  • Company expects a one-time benefit in 2028 from Stars outperformance, to be used for one-time investments and return to shareholders.
  • Virtual investor update scheduled for December 10, 2026.
  • Peer group for Stars comparison includes Centene, CVS, Elevance, HCSC, and United.

Financial Impact

Stars revenue PMPM outperformance vs. peer median; one-time benefit for 2028 not yet quantified. FY 2026 adjusted EPS guidance at least $9.00 per share.

revenueearnings

Risk Factors

  • One-time Stars benefit may not recur in future years.
  • Actual 2028 Stars revenue PMPM will depend on future membership and contract mix, risk scores, benchmarks, and rebates.
  • GAAP EPS guidance subject to change due to ongoing value creation and other strategic initiatives.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000049071-26-000057
Document: 0000049071-26-000057-index-headers.html0000049071-26-000057
Document: 0000049071-26-000057-index.html0000049071-26-000057
Document: 0000049071-26-000057.txt0000049071-26-000057
13 reports for HUM
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +70.87%Mar 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HUM, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$420.97 $422.07▲ +0.26%▲ +0.78%$414.85 (−1.45%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$420.38 $427.40▲ +1.67%▲ +2.75%$414.85 (−1.32%)
Oct 9, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$431.87 $433.50▲ +0.38%▲ +0.44%$414.85 (−3.94%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$374.78 $380.32▲ +1.48%▲ +1.56%$414.85 (+10.69%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$394.45 $400.83▲ +1.62%▲ +1.17%$414.85 (+5.17%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$382.00 $378.02▼ −1.04%▼ −1.25%$414.85 (+8.60%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$389.05 $384.31▼ −1.22%▼ −0.75%$414.85 (+6.63%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$365.41 $366.66▲ +0.34%▼ −1.33%$414.85 (+13.53%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$328.31 $320.57▼ −2.36%▼ −2.50%$414.85 (+26.36%)
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$197.53 $195.77▼ −0.89%▼ −2.10%$414.85 (+110.02%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Oct 9, 2026