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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 15, 2026

HTHT

H World Group Limited
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The severe EPS miss and weak operating cash flow overshadow the modest revenue beat and RevPAR improvement. The conversion of $500M notes into 13M ADSs adds overhang. Monitor the HWI segment's path to profitability and whether the HWC RevPAR recovery sustains into Q2. The stock may gap down on the EPS miss and dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
HTHT ▼ -9.66% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +9.66% · α vs SPY +14.18% · entry $46.05 → $41.60
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.17%
call +1.17% · α +1.11%
$45.51
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.74%
call +2.74% · α +3.70%
$44.79
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-2.58%
call +2.58% · α +4.70%
$44.86
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-9.66%
call +9.66% · α +14.18%
$41.60
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

H World reported Q1 2026 revenue of RMB6.0B (+11.1% YoY), slightly above the consensus estimate of RMB5.91B. However, GAAP diluted EPS of RMB0.26 (US$0.37 per ADS) was a massive miss vs the consensus estimate of US$3.89 per ADS, driven by a large foreign exchange loss and higher tax expense. The company maintained its full-year gross opening target of 2,200-2,300 hotels in China, and HWC RevPAR grew 3.0% YoY, a sequential improvement. The combination of a severe EPS miss, a director resignation, and the conversion of $500M convertible notes into 13M ADSs (dilution) creates a bearish near-term read-through despite the revenue beat.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.37
est $3.89 · -90.5%
Revenue
$870.0M
est $5.9B · +11.1% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue RMB6.0B (+11.1% YoY) vs consensus RMB5.91B — a modest beat
  • GAAP diluted EPS RMB0.26 (US$0.37 per ADS) vs consensus US$3.89 per ADS — a severe miss of ~90%
  • Net income attributable to H World fell 8.6% YoY to RMB817M, driven by a 10% decline in HWC segment net income
  • HWC blended RevPAR grew 3.0% YoY to RMB214, a sequential improvement from Q4 2025's -1.2% decline
  • Same-hotel RevPAR in China declined 2.3% YoY, with occupancy down 2.8pp, partially offset by 1.4% ADR growth
  • HWI segment posted an Adjusted EBITDA loss of RMB56M vs a gain of RMB327M in Q4 2025
  • Operating cash flow was only RMB233M, down sharply from RMB580M in Q1 2025 and RMB3.4B in Q4 2025
  • US$500M convertible notes matured on May 1, 2026; ~US$499.6M converted into 13M ADSs, creating dilution
  • Executive Director Jie Zheng resigned effective May 15, 2026
  • Full-year gross opening target of 2,200-2,300 hotels in China maintained

Financial Impact

GAAP diluted EPS of US$0.37 vs consensus US$3.89 — a ~90% miss. Revenue beat by ~1.5%.

epsnet incomeoperating cash flowdilutionsegment profitability

Risk Factors

  • Continued weakness in HWI segment profitability (Adjusted EBITDA loss of RMB56M)
  • Dilution from convertible note conversion (13M new ADSs)
  • Declining same-hotel occupancy in China (down 2.8pp YoY)
  • Sharp drop in operating cash flow (RMB233M vs RMB580M a year ago)
  • Director resignation may signal internal challenges

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Hotels & Motels
Analyst Consensus
95% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3295672
14 reports for HTHT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +12.13%Mar 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HTHT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$46.31awaiting T+5—$46.47 (−0.35%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.17 $46.58▲ +5.46%▲ +6.61%$46.47 (+5.21%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$42.78 $42.80▲ +0.05%▲ +0.72%$46.47 (+8.63%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.72 $42.78▲ +0.14%▼ −2.42%$46.47 (+8.78%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.01 $43.21▲ +0.47%▲ +0.96%$46.47 (+8.04%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$45.77 $43.12▼ −5.79%▼ −4.58%$46.47 (+1.53%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.61 $48.64▲ +4.36%▲ +5.55%$46.47 (−0.30%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.61 $48.64▲ +4.36%▲ +5.55%$46.47 (−0.30%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$46.61 $48.64▲ +4.36%▲ +5.55%$46.47 (−0.30%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.34 $41.25▼ −2.57%▼ −2.93%$46.47 (+9.75%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published May 15, 2026