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EFFECT ·Filed Apr 9, 2026

HSDT

Solana Co
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001114
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should anticipate potential near-term dilution as the company may conduct follow-on offerings under this shelf. The resale of 155.3 million PIPE shares increases tradable supply, which could pressure the stock price, especially given the company's $103M market cap.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
HSDT ▼ -3.70% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.70% · α vs SPY +14.49% · entry $1.89 → $1.82
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.06%
$1.89
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+8.99%
call -8.99% · α -5.81%
$2.06
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+17.46%
call -17.46% · α -9.89%
$2.22
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-3.70%
call +3.70% · α +14.49%
$1.82
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Solana Co (HSDT) has two shelf registration statements (S-3ASR) that became effective on April 8, 2026, allowing the company to issue up to $300 million in securities over time. The filings cover resale of shares from a prior PIPE offering and enable future at-the-market or public offerings, creating a potential dilution overhang.

Key Facts

  • Two EFFECT filings (333-290950 and 333-290429) became effective on 2026-04-08
  • Filings relate to a shelf registration (S-3ASR) for up to $300 million in aggregate securities
  • Covers resale of 155.3 million shares from a September 2025 PIPE offering
  • Securities include common stock, pre-funded warrants, and stapled warrants issued in private placement
  • Company will not receive proceeds from resale of existing shares by selling stockholders

Financial Impact

Up to $300 million in potential future dilution; immediate overhang from 155.3 million shares now freely tradable

dilutionfloatliquidityshareholder equity

Risk Factors

  • Significant share dilution from future offerings under the shelf registration
  • Increased selling pressure from 155.3 million shares now eligible for resale
  • Potential for down-round financing if stock price remains depressed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (HSDT) — Batch item 19999999995-26-001114
Document: 9999999995-26-001114-index.html9999999995-26-001113
Document: 9999999995-26-001114.txt9999999995-26-001114
EFFECT Filing (HSDT) — Batch item 49999999995-26-001113
Document: 9999999995-26-001113-index.html9999999995-26-001114
Document: 9999999995-26-001113.txt9999999995-26-001114
19 reports for HSDT
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+5▲ +27.22%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HSDT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.62awaiting T+60—$2.21 (+15.65%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.62awaiting T+60—$2.21 (+15.65%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.62awaiting T+60—$2.21 (+15.65%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.30awaiting T+60—$2.21 (−3.91%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.66awaiting T+60—$2.21 (−33.13%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.74awaiting T+60—$2.21 (+27.01%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.75 $2.14▼ −22.64%▼ −21.40%$2.21 (−26.65%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.75 $2.14▼ −22.64%▼ −21.40%$2.21 (−26.65%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.30 $1.86▼ −19.13%▼ −21.86%$2.21 (−3.91%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.18 $1.74▲ +20.18%▲ +25.03%$2.21 (−1.38%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 2h 1m

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Report published Apr 9, 2026