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Institutional Cluster

HPK

HighPeak Energy, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is entirely passive rebalancing with no active-investor conviction. Monitor for any active fund or insider buying as a stronger signal.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
HPK ▲ +0.25% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +0.25% · α vs SPY -4.15% · entry $8.03 → $8.05
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.24%
call -2.24% · α -2.78%
$7.85
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.98%
call -5.98% · α -6.41%
$7.55
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-12.83%
call -12.83% · α -14.72%
$7.00
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+0.25%
call +0.25% · α -4.15%
$8.05
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

A cluster of mega-passive institutional investors (Invesco, Morgan Stanley, BofA) added $2.1M in HPK during Q3 2025, while three other passive/asset-manager sellers trimmed $556K. The buying is dominated by index-fund rebalancing, not active conviction, and the net $1.5M inflow is trivial relative to HPK's $1.0B market cap. The cluster provides no actionable signal beyond routine portfolio rebalancing.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$5.2M
Sell Value
$555.6K
Net Flow
$1.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $1.5M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
InvescoADD+44.9%$2.1M$93.0K
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+230.7%$2.3M$1.3M
BofADOUBLED+831.1%$764.0K$650.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityTRIM-74%$36.0K-$29.2K
UBSTRIM-39.4%$337.0K-$189.5K
Ubs Am, A Distinct Business UnTRIM-55.6%$496.0K-$336.9K

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers (all mega-passive) added $2.1M in new holdings; 3 sellers (2 mega-passive, 1 asset manager) trimmed $556K
  • Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+230.7% shares) to $2.3M; BofA added 831% to $764K; Invesco added 44.9% to $2.1M
  • Fidelity trimmed 74% of its tiny position (from $36K to $7K); UBS trimmed 39.4%; UBS AM trimmed 55.6%
  • All buying is from mega-passive index funds — no active manager, activist, or hedge fund involvement
  • Net institutional activity of ~$1.5M is ~0.15% of HPK's $1.0B market cap — immaterial

Financial Impact

3 mega-passive buyers accumulated $2.1M while 3 sellers reduced holdings by $556K, for a net inflow of ~$1.5M — less than 0.2% of market cap

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • All buying is from mega-passive funds — no active manager conviction signal
  • Net dollar amount is trivial relative to market cap
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have already been reversed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Drilling Oil & Gas Wells
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (5 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-HPK-2025-Q3
11 reports for HPK
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +22.99%Oct 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HPK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.22 $10.11▲ +22.99%▲ +23.13%—
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.22 $10.11▲ +22.99%▲ +23.13%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.26 $7.85▼ −4.96%▼ −4.56%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.26 $7.85▼ −4.96%▼ −4.56%—
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.66 $6.62▼ −0.60%▼ −0.86%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$7.85 $7.18▲ +8.54%▲ +9.21%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.03 $7.55▼ −5.98%▼ −6.41%—
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.59 $6.69▲ +19.68%▲ +18.17%—
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.24 $6.96▲ +11.54%▲ +10.06%—
Mar 11, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.69 $6.82▼ −19.86%▼ −20.84%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026